Diyala8th5 pts
Al-Karma3rd8 pts
Diyala8th5 pts
Al-Karma3rd8 ptsIn the Iraqi League table, Diyala sit 8th with 5 points from 4 games, while Al-Karma are 3rd with 8 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Diyala at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Karma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.31 | 3.28 | 1.76, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Iraqi League table: Diyala are 8th (5 pts, 8-8 goals), Al-Karma 3rd (8 pts, 6-3).
Over their last five matches, Diyala averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Al-Karma averaged 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Karma.
Diyala vs Al-Karma — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Erbil | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  Al Zawra'a | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  Al-Karma | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Mosul | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Al Minaa Basra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Naft | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 |  Diyala | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Al Talaba | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Al-Jolan SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Duhok | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 |  Gharraf | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Al Kahrabaa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Naft Maysan | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Newroz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 |  Karbala | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 |  Al Karkh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
4.31
X
3.28
2
1.76
Double chance
1X
1.86
X2
1.15
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
2.03
No
1.64
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.22
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 1.5
1.37
Under 1.5
2.63
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.35
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
1.99
Over 2.25
1.94
Under 2.25
1.72
Over 2.75
2.59
Under 2.75
1.41
Over 3.5
4.05
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.07
Under 1
5.80
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
3.42
Over 3
3.28
Under 3
1.25
Over 3.25
3.72
Under 3.25
1.21
Over 4
7.20
Under 4
1.03
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
7.40
Over 4.5
7.80
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 3.75
4.80
Under 3.75
1.14
Draw no bet
1
3.09
2
1.30
Asian handicap
Away -0.5
1.72
1st half
1
4.94
X
2.00
2
2.40
First team to score
Home
2.79
No Goal
7.30
Away
1.61