Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21• Premier League Cup, England

1.5:0.512:00Tomorrow1.0:4.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80PINX4.50DAF24.10DAFMargin at best2.2%Books8Markets52Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 19:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	4.50	4.10	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.80	4.45	3.20	9.3%
Betano	1.65	4.15	4.05	9.4%
Betfair	1.65	4.20	3.90	10.1%
1xBet	1.65	4.30	3.72	10.7%
Bet365	1.60	4.33	3.90	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	4.30	3.64	12.1%
William Hill	1.73	4.00	3.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.80	4.50	4.10	2.2%
Average	1.67	4.28	3.74	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Brentford U21Derby County U21

Last 104Form pts · last 571.5Goals for · last 51.00.5Goals against · last 54.075Attack rating2580Defence rating20100Form rating067H2H rating330Goals model074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:51 UTC

Brentford U21

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against

6 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	1-7	L
22 Sep	A	Bromley	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Manchester United U21	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Everton U21	0-2	L
8 Sep	A	Hull City U21	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Sunderland U21	5-1	W
21 Aug	A	Stoke City U21	3-2	W
16 Aug	H	Wycombe U21	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Rennes	2-1	W
1 May	A	Everton U21	2-4	L

Derby County U21

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:32 · per match 1.6 for, 3.2 against

18 Sep	A	Burnley U21	1-4	L
11 Sep	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	1-3	L
8 Sep	A	Gateshead	3-1	W
31 Aug	H	West Bromwich Albion U21	4-4	D
24 Aug	A	Reading U21	3-1	W
18 Aug	A	FC Halifax Town	2-6	L
14 Aug	H	Hull City U21	1-4	L
1 Aug	H	Carlisle	0-3	L
27 Apr	A	Brentford U21	0-2	L
13 Apr	A	Reading U21	1-4	L

Head to head

2Brentford U21 wins

0draws

1Derby County U21 wins

3 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Brentford U21

27 Apr 2026Professional Development League	Professional Development League	Brentford U212-0Derby County U21
6 Dec 2024Premier League Cup	Premier League Cup	Derby County U211-4Brentford U21
21 Oct 2024Premier League Cup	Premier League Cup	Brentford U210-1Derby County U21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X21%4.28224%3.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.59	8.1%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.59	5.3%
Average	1.45	2.52	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.55	2.27	8.6%
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.44	9.9%
Best of all books	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Average	1.49	2.40	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brentford U21 50%Draw 50%Derby County U21 0%

The statistical model rates Brentford U21 at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Derby County U21 at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 4.28 | 3.74, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Brentford U21 win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Brentford U21 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Derby County U21 averaged 1 scored and 4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Brentford U21 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	4.28	3.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	2.05	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.52	3.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	26.0	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.11	5.02
2.5	1.45	2.52
3.5	2.15	1.61
4.5	3.50	1.23
5.5	6.23	1.07

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.14	4.45
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.52	2.29
3	1.70	2.00
3.25	1.92	1.78
3.75	2.44	1.45
4	2.96	1.32
4.25	3.20	1.26
4.75	4.35	1.14
5	5.90	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.70	1.36
-1.25	2.49	1.45
-1	2.13	1.65
-0.75	1.87	1.80
-0.5	1.81	1.98
-0.25	1.53	2.29

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.65	1.04
-2.75	6.75	1.04
-2.5	5.25	1.09
-2.25	4.86	1.11
-2	4.50	1.13
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.36	2.78
+0.25	1.30	3.09
+0.75	1.13	4.55
+1	1.04	6.75
+1.5	1.03	7.70