Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale• Serie D - Girone C, Italy

#140.8:3.01-3FT04/100.4:0.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.731XBX3.561XB22.461XBMargin at best5.4%Books2Markets15Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.02	3.63	3.58	5.0%
Betano	2.07	3.10	3.30	10.9%
Best of all books	2.07	3.63	3.58	3.8%
Average	2.04	3.37	3.44	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Virtus BolzanoCalvi Noale

Last 10#14Table position#151.13Points per game1.006Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 50.43.0Goals against · last 50.867Attack rating3321Defence rating7955Form rating450H2H rating043Goals model5747Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Virtus Bolzano

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:29 · per match 0.9 for, 2.9 against

18 Oct	H	Bassano Virtus	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Campodarsego	1-4	L
4 Oct	H	Calvi Noale	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Altavilla	0-7	L
20 Sep	H	Sandona	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Luparense	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Brian Lignano	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Clodiense	0-2	L
25 Jul	A	Modena	0-5	L
5 May	H	Campodarsego	1-1	D

Calvi Noale

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Clodiense	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Sandona	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	Virtus Bolzano	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	Brian Lignano	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Legnago Salus	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Schio	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Triestina	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Mestre	0-2	L
3 May	A	Bassano Virtus	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Campodarsego	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Virtus Bolzano and Calvi Noale on record.

Serie D - Girone C tableSerie D: Group Cupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone C table, Virtus Bolzano sit 14th with 9 points from 8 games, while Calvi Noale are 15th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Luparense	8	5	3	0	15:3	+12	18
2	Cjarlins Muzane	8	6	0	2	19:9	+10	18
3	Clodiense	8	5	1	2	13:10	+3	16
4	Sandona	8	4	3	1	8:4	+4	15
5	Legnago Salus	8	4	1	3	13:10	+3	13
6	Campodarsego	8	4	1	3	15:13	+2	13
7	Bassano Virtus	8	3	3	2	8:5	+3	12
8	LME	8	3	2	3	7:9	-2	11
9	Mestre	8	2	4	2	10:10	0	10
10	Este	8	3	1	4	6:6	0	10
11	Conegliano	8	3	1	4	5:9	-4	10
12	Altavilla	8	2	3	3	16:10	+6	9
13	Triestina	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
14	Virtus Bolzano	8	3	0	5	8:23	-15	9
15	Calvi Noale	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
16	FC Obermais	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
17	Schio	8	1	4	3	7:10	-3	7
18	Brian Lignano	8	1	0	7	7:17	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.61X28%3.22238%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 2.61 +27.3%X3.37 → 3.18 -5.6%23.44 → 2.38 -30.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.78	5.2%
Betano	1.91	1.70	11.2%
Best of all books	2.04	1.78	5.2%
Average	1.98	1.74	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.91	1.89	5.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.89	5.3%
Average	1.91	1.89	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Virtus Bolzano 35%Draw 35%Calvi Noale 30%

The statistical model rated Virtus Bolzano at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Calvi Noale at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.22 | 2.36, which imply roughly 38.3% for a Virtus Bolzano win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone C table: Virtus Bolzano are 14th (9 pts, 8-23 goals), Calvi Noale 15th (8 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Virtus Bolzano averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Calvi Noale averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Virtus Bolzano or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.37	3.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.62	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	2.00	3.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.34	3.05
2.25	1.72	1.93
2.5	1.98	1.74
3.5	3.50	1.26
4.5	7.34	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.70	1.22
-0.25	1.75	1.87
0	1.48	2.35

Next Serie D - Girone C matches

25 Oct	Altavilla – Luparense
25 Oct	FC Obermais – Brian Lignano
25 Oct	Calvi Noale – Este
25 Oct	Campodarsego – Clodiense
25 Oct	Triestina – Mestre
25 Oct	Cjarlins Muzane – Virtus Bolzano

All Serie D - Girone C fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone C results

4 Oct	Este 2-1 Conegliano
4 Oct	Mestre 1-1 Campodarsego
4 Oct	Brian Lignano 1-3 Luparense
4 Oct	Legnago Salus 0-2 Bassano Virtus
4 Oct	Triestina 2-0 FC Obermais
27 Sep	FC Obermais 2-2 Mestre