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Alessandria vs Celle Varazze• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#12.4:0.613:30Tomorrow · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria0.8:1.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.19BTNX6.601XB211.5BTNMargin at best7.9%Books3Markets21Rating81 · 20Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.186.6011.18.9%
Dafabet1.176.6011.09.7%
Betano1.195.4011.511.2%
Best of all books1.196.6011.57.9%
Average1.186.2011.29.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlessandriaCelle Varazze
Last 10#1Table position#182.70Points per game0.4012Form pts · last 542.4Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.675Attack rating2573Defence rating2779Form rating210H2H rating095Goals model581Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Alessandria

8W 0D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

1 NovABorgosesia3-1W
25 OctHBiellese2-0W
18 OctALascaris2-1W
11 OctHFezzanese2-0W
7 OctABiellese2-3L
4 OctADerthona3-1W
30 SepHImperia2-1W
27 SepHAsti2-0W
16 SepAMillesimo1-4L
13 SepHSestri Levante2-1W

Celle Varazze

1W 1D 8L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

1 NovHValenzana2-1W
28 OctHGozzano1-2L
25 OctAImperia0-2L
11 OctASestri Levante1-1D
7 OctABra0-2L
4 OctHChisola0-4L
20 SepHLigorna0-2L
16 SepASaluzzo1-3L
12 SepASanremese0-1L
6 SepHDerthona0-1L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Alessandria and Celle Varazze on record.

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Alessandria sit 1st with 27 points from 10 games, while Celle Varazze are 18th with 4 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alessandria1090121:10+1127
2Chisola1062224:12+1220
3Biellese1062221:11+1020
4Ligorna1052317:12+517
5Derthona1044214:14016
6Millesimo1051417:11+616
7Imperia1043313:11+215
8Asti1042411:12-114
9Gozzano1042412:15-314
10Sanremese1035212:9+314
11Saluzzo1026210:10012
12Borgosesia1033413:15-212
13Lascaris103259:14-511
14Fezzanese103168:15-710
15Bra102448:14-610
16Sestri Levante102447:10-310
17Valenzana1012710:18-85
18Celle Varazze101185:19-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.18X15%6.2028%11.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 03:017 Nov 00:011 1.18X 6.202 11.2
11.29 → 1.18 -8.5%X4.68 → 6.20 +32.5%28.97 → 11.2 +24.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.602.159.0%
Betano1.602.1010.1%
Best of all books1.602.159.0%
Average1.602.139.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.391.546.8%
Best of all books2.391.546.8%
Average2.391.546.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alessandria 50%Draw 50%Celle Varazze 0%

The statistical model rates Alessandria at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Celle Varazze at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.18 | 6.20 | 11.20, which imply roughly 84.7% for a Alessandria win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Alessandria are 1st (27 pts, 21-10 goals), Celle Varazze 18th (4 pts, 5-19).

Over their last five matches, Alessandria averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Celle Varazze averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Alessandria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.186.2011.2

Double chance

1XX212
1.043.801.10

Draw no bet

12
1.056.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.391.54

1st half

1X2
1.602.529.50

2nd half

1X2
1.423.159.25

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.6525.0120.0
HT X3.457.7023.0
HT 223.025.022.0

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.194.00
2.51.602.13
31.951.70
3.52.491.43
4.54.251.17

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.54.551.15
-2.52.551.41
-21.901.72
-1.51.662.02
01.057.85

Next Serie D - Girone A matches

7 NovFezzanese – Borgosesia
8 NovAsti – Sanremese
8 NovGozzano – Derthona
8 NovValenzana – Chisola
8 NovLascaris – Biellese
8 NovMillesimo – Ligorna

All Serie D - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

1 NovSanremese 0-0 Imperia
1 NovBiellese 4-1 Millesimo
1 NovCelle Varazze 2-1 Valenzana
1 NovDerthona 4-3 Lascaris
1 NovBorgosesia 1-3 Alessandria
1 NovLigorna 0-0 Sestri Levante