Club NacionalvsProgreso• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Club Nacional8th35 pts
Progreso16th16 pts
Club Nacional8th35 pts
Progreso16th16 ptsIn the Primera División table, Club Nacional sit 8th with 35 points from 24 games, while Progreso are 16th with 16 points from 24 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Club Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Progreso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.37 | 6.91, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Club Nacional win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Club Nacional are 8th (35 pts, 35-33 goals), Progreso 16th (16 pts, 18-37).
Over their last five matches, Club Nacional averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Progreso averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw.
Club Nacional vs Progreso — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 47 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 46 |
| 3 |  Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 |  Wanderers | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 |  Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 |
| 8 |  Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Boston River | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 28 |
| 13 |  Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 24 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.38
X
4.37
2
6.91
Double chance
1X
1.08
X2
2.73
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
1.96
No
1.74
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.23
Under 1.5
3.74
Over 2.5
1.75
Under 2.5
1.99
Over 3.5
2.87
Under 3.5
1.37
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.95
Over 4.5
5.34
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
10.43
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
19.17
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.21
Over 2
1.35
Under 2
2.86
Over 2.25
1.56
Under 2.25
2.29
Over 2.75
1.96
Under 2.75
1.78
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.90
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.70
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
4.91
Over 3
2.27
Under 3
1.55
Over 3.25
2.52
Under 3.25
1.45
Over 3.75
3.35
Under 3.75
1.25
Over 4
4.47
Under 4
1.14
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 5
8.87
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.13
2
5.23
Asian handicap
Away 3.25
1.04
1st half
1
1.88
X
2.39
2
6.70
First team to score
Home
1.37
No Goal
12.38
Away
3.35
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.25
6.31
Under 13.25
1.04
Cards in match
Over 6.5
2.10
Under 6.5
1.62