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Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#171.8:1.31-2FTToday · Clayton Wood, Stoke on Trent3.3:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.471XBX5.76PIN21.42B365Margin at best6.1%Books5Markets67Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.845.761.409.5%
1xBet5.475.251.3610.9%
Bet3654.755.001.4211.5%
Marathonbet5.255.251.3512.2%
William Hill5.005.001.3613.5%
Best of all books5.475.761.426.1%
Average5.065.251.3811.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stoke City U21Chelsea U21
Last 10#17Table position#51.00Points per game2.254Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 53.31.3Goals against · last 52.035Attack rating6562Defence rating3831Form rating69100H2H rating046Goals model5448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

Stoke City U21

1W 2D 7L · goals 11:27 · per match 1.1 for, 2.7 against

13 OctAFC Halifax Town2-4L
9 OctHCharlton Athletic U212-2D
21 SepAAFC Bournemouth U211-2L
16 SepHBorussia M'gladbach II0-2L
11 SepHWolves U214-0W
8 SepAWealdstone0-6L
4 SepAStockport County U210-4L
28 AugANorwich City U210-0D
21 AugHBrentford U212-3L
18 AugAScunthorpe0-4L

Chelsea U21

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

13 OctAReading2-0W
19 SepHFulham U213-1W
15 SepAWycombe1-2L
12 SepAArsenal U214-1W
31 AugHWest Ham United U215-4W
25 AugABristol Rovers2-2D
21 AugAAFC Bournemouth U211-2L
21 JulHCardiff City U210-0D
1 MayHTottenham Hotspur U211-3L
25 AprHMiddlesbrough U211-0W

Head to head

1Stoke City U21 wins
0draws
0Chelsea U21 wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Stoke City U21

27 Sep 2025Premier League 2 Division OnePremier League 2 Division OneChelsea U211-2Stoke City U21

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Stoke City U21 sit 17th with 4 points from 4 games, while Chelsea U21 are 5th with 9 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tottenham Hotspur U21431013:7+610
2Southampton U2143107:2+510
3Sunderland U21531115:11+410
4Manchester United U21330012:3+99
5Chelsea U21430113:8+59
6AFC Bournemouth U2143018:6+29
7Nottingham Forest U2143017:709
8Liverpool U2142118:4+47
9Fulham U21421112:9+37
10Leeds United U21421111:9+27
11Reading U2142117:6+17
12Norwich City U2142116:5+17
13Brentford U21420210:8+26
14Everton U2141214:3+15
15West Ham United U2141215:505
16Aston Villa U2141217:8-15
17Stoke City U2141127:5+24
18Crystal Palace U2131113:2+14
19Brighton U2141127:9-24
20Derby County U2141129:12-34
21Arsenal U2150416:9-34
22Manchester City U2131027:6+13
23Burnley U2141038:9-13
24Blackburn Rovers U2131024:7-33
25Ipswich Town U2131026:10-43
26Birmingham City U2130215:7-22
27Middlesbrough U2140227:10-32
28West Bromwich Albion U2130128:11-31
29Leicester City U2130121:7-61
30Newcastle United U2130031:9-80
31Wolves U2130030:10-100

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.06X17%5.25265%1.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 17:5016 Oct 14:101 5.06X 5.252 1.38
15.38 → 5.06 -5.9%X5.26 → 5.25 -0.2%21.38 → 1.38 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
1xBet1.233.4210.5%
Marathonbet1.233.4210.5%
Best of all books1.303.426.2%
Average1.253.419.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.382.749.0%
William Hill1.402.629.6%
Marathonbet1.382.679.9%
Best of all books1.402.747.9%
Average1.392.689.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stoke City U21 45%Draw 45%Chelsea U21 10%

The statistical model rated Stoke City U21 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chelsea U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.06 | 5.25 | 1.38, which imply roughly 19.8% for a Stoke City U21 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: Stoke City U21 are 17th (4 pts, 7-5 goals), Chelsea U21 5th (9 pts, 13-8).

Over their last five matches, Stoke City U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Chelsea U21 averaged 3.3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Stoke City U21 or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.065.251.38

Double chance

1XX212
2.651.101.10

Draw no bet

12
4.371.19

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.68

1st half

1X2
4.832.901.78

2nd half

1X2
4.783.191.68

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.5317.416.7
HT X13.710.34.87
HT 235.017.01.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7037.51.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.0
1.51.028.00
2.51.253.41
3.51.722.00
4.52.611.40
5.54.501.13
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0115.0
1.751.037.50
21.046.95
2.251.134.50
2.751.283.08
31.352.82
3.251.532.28
3.751.871.80
42.131.61
4.252.361.49
4.753.041.29
53.861.18
5.254.201.15
67.701.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.751.42
+0.752.451.47
+12.181.60
+1.251.901.82
+1.51.712.04
+1.751.542.29
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.501.03
-17.801.04
-0.756.251.12
-0.55.001.17
-0.254.701.14
04.321.17
+0.253.291.27
+21.392.74
+2.251.322.98
+2.51.283.26
+2.751.203.95
+31.125.27
+3.251.105.70
+3.51.056.40
+41.057.10
+4.51.048.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
81.313.06
8.51.492.38
91.642.07
9.51.891.78
102.231.55
10.52.551.43