AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#82.0:1.72-1FT21/09 · The Wyatt Homes Stadium, Dorset2.0:1.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57PINX5.45PIN24.411XBMargin at best4.7%Books6Markets52Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.67	4.50	3.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.69	4.88	3.39	9.2%
1xBet	1.63	4.45	3.71	10.8%
Bet365	1.80	4.00	3.25	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.61	4.45	3.64	12.1%
William Hill	1.67	4.33	3.40	12.4%
Best of all books	1.80	4.88	3.71	3.0%
Average	1.68	4.43	3.52	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC Bournemouth U21Stoke City U21

Last 10#8Table position#172.25Points per game0.8012Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 52.01.7Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5038Defence rating6360Form rating400H2H rating00Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Oct 17:40 UTC

AFC Bournemouth U21

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

21 Sep	H	Stoke City U21	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Southampton U21	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Leicester City U21	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Middlesbrough U21	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Chelsea U21	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Cardiff City U21	1-4	L
10 Jul	H	Worthing	2-2	D
4 May	A	Huddersfield Town U21	1-4	L
24 Apr	H	Wolves U21	1-0	W
14 Apr	A	Hull City U21	4-0	W

Stoke City U21

1W 2D 7L · goals 11:27 · per match 1.1 for, 2.7 against

13 Oct	A	FC Halifax Town	2-4	L
9 Oct	H	Charlton Athletic U21	2-2	D
21 Sep	A	AFC Bournemouth U21	1-2	L
16 Sep	H	Borussia M'gladbach II	0-2	L
11 Sep	H	Wolves U21	4-0	W
8 Sep	A	Wealdstone	0-6	L
4 Sep	A	Stockport County U21	0-4	L
28 Aug	A	Norwich City U21	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Brentford U21	2-3	L
18 Aug	A	Scunthorpe	0-4	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Bournemouth U21 and Stoke City U21 on record.

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 16 Oct 22:11 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 8th with 9 points from 4 games, while Stoke City U21 are 17th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea U21	5	4	0	1	15:9	+6	12
2	Nottingham Forest U21	5	4	0	1	10:9	+1	12
3	Tottenham Hotspur U21	4	3	1	0	13:7	+6	10
4	Southampton U21	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
5	Sunderland U21	5	3	1	1	15:11	+4	10
6	Norwich City U21	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
7	Manchester United U21	4	3	0	1	14:6	+8	9
8	AFC Bournemouth U21	4	3	0	1	8:6	+2	9
9	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
10	Liverpool U21	4	2	1	1	8:4	+4	7
11	Fulham U21	4	2	1	1	12:9	+3	7
12	Leeds United U21	4	2	1	1	11:9	+2	7
13	Reading U21	4	2	1	1	7:6	+1	7
14	Brentford U21	4	2	0	2	10:8	+2	6
15	Aston Villa U21	4	1	2	1	7:8	-1	5
16	West Ham United U21	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5
17	Stoke City U21	5	1	1	3	8:7	+1	4
18	Crystal Palace U21	3	1	1	1	3:2	+1	4
19	Brighton U21	4	1	1	2	7:9	-2	4
20	Derby County U21	4	1	1	2	9:12	-3	4
21	Arsenal U21	5	0	4	1	6:9	-3	4
22	Manchester City U21	3	1	0	2	7:6	+1	3
23	Burnley U21	4	1	0	3	8:9	-1	3
24	Blackburn Rovers U21	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
25	Ipswich Town U21	3	1	0	2	6:10	-4	3
26	Birmingham City U21	3	0	2	1	5:7	-2	2
27	Middlesbrough U21	5	0	2	3	8:12	-4	2
28	West Bromwich Albion U21	3	0	1	2	8:11	-3	1
29	Leicester City U21	3	0	1	2	1:7	-6	1
30	Newcastle United U21	3	0	0	3	1:9	-8	0
31	Wolves U21	3	0	0	3	0:10	-10	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X19%4.62224%3.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.51 -10.1%X4.43 → 4.68 +5.6%23.52 → 4.09 +16.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.70	9.0%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.35	2.88	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.36	2.80	9.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.73	10.2%
Best of all books	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Average	1.37	2.76	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Bournemouth U21 35%Draw 35%Stoke City U21 30%

The statistical model rated AFC Bournemouth U21 at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Stoke City U21 at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 4.62 | 3.70, which imply roughly 63.7% for a AFC Bournemouth U21 win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: AFC Bournemouth U21 are 8th (9 pts, 8-6 goals), Stoke City U21 17th (4 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, AFC Bournemouth U21 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Stoke City U21 averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	4.43	3.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.98	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.65	3.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	26.5	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.5
1.5	1.07	6.53
2.5	1.35	2.88
3.5	1.92	1.81
4.5	3.07	1.31
5.5	5.57	1.10

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.06	6.05
2	1.08	5.50
2.25	1.19	3.74
2.75	1.39	2.65
3	1.50	2.33
3.25	1.71	1.99
3.75	2.13	1.60
4	2.50	1.44
4.25	2.78	1.36
4.75	3.70	1.20
5	4.90	1.11
5.25	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.65	1.39
-1.25	2.38	1.49
-1	2.08	1.69
-0.75	1.82	1.86
-0.5	1.75	2.05
-0.25	1.49	2.36

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.65	1.01
-3	8.85	1.02
-2.75	6.55	1.05
-2.5	5.05	1.10
-2.25	4.70	1.12
-2	4.30	1.15
-1.75	3.20	1.26
0	1.34	2.88
+0.25	1.26	3.20
+0.75	1.13	4.60
+1	1.04	6.85
+1.25	1.06	6.30
+1.5	1.02	7.80
+2	1.01	9.70