Scunthorpe vs 
Derby County U21• National League Cup, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.20 | 6.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 4.37 | 5.15 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.30 | 4.90 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.35 | 5.09 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.75 | 4.33 | 10.8% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 11.2% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 11.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.35 | 4.90 | 11.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 4.75 | 5.20 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.48 | 4.35 | 4.90 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 19:01 UTC
Scunthorpe
4W 0D 6L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against
| 10 Oct | A | AFC Fylde | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Barrow | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hartlepool | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | AFC Hornchurch | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Boreham Wood | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Sutton Utd | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | H | Nottingham Forest U21 | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Harrogate Town | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Carlisle | 2-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Solihull Moors | 3-1 | W |
Derby County U21
2W 1D 7L · goals 17:32 · per match 1.7 for, 3.2 against
| 10 Oct | A | Brentford U21 | 2-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Burnley U21 | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | Gateshead | 3-1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 4-4 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Reading U21 | 3-1 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | FC Halifax Town | 2-6 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Hull City U21 | 1-4 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Carlisle | 0-3 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Brentford U21 | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Scunthorpe and Derby County U21 on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 2.79 | 7.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Betano | 1.42 | 2.57 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 2.75 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.34 | 2.20 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.79 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.39 | 2.58 | 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.36 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.52 | 2.32 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.32 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.40 | 11.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.10 | 21.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.52 | 2.40 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.47 | 2.32 | 11.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Scunthorpe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Derby County U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 4.06 | 4.14, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Scunthorpe win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Scunthorpe averaged 3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Derby County U21 averaged 2.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Scunthorpe and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 4.35 | 4.90 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 2.38 | 1.14 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.21 | 3.60 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.47 | 2.32 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 2.55 | 4.79 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 21.5 | 2.67 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 16.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.09 | 5.11 |
| 2.5 | 1.39 | 2.58 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| 4.5 | 3.14 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 5.44 | 1.08 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.11 | 4.86 |
| 2 | 1.14 | 4.45 |
| 2.25 | 1.28 | 2.87 |
| 2.75 | 1.46 | 2.31 |
| 3 | 1.61 | 2.06 |
| 3.25 | 1.79 | 1.81 |
| 3.75 | 2.21 | 1.50 |
| 4 | 2.62 | 1.36 |
| 4.25 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 4.75 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| 5 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| 5.25 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| -1.5 | 2.18 | 1.54 |
| -1.25 | 1.97 | 1.69 |
| -1 | 1.75 | 1.91 |
| -0.75 | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| -0.5 | 1.45 | 2.36 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -3 | 6.33 | 1.08 |
| -2.75 | 4.66 | 1.15 |
| -2.5 | 3.75 | 1.21 |
| -2.25 | 3.48 | 1.25 |
| -2 | 3.17 | 1.29 |
| -0.25 | 1.35 | 2.91 |
| 0 | 1.21 | 3.75 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 4.17 |
| +0.5 | 1.20 | 4.40 |
| +0.75 | 1.09 | 5.92 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 9.00 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.35 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.33 | 2.91 |
| 9.5 | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| 10 | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| 10.5 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| 11 | 2.24 | 1.55 |
| 11.5 | 2.55 | 1.43 |