Tamworth vs 
Leeds United U21• National League Cup, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.89 | 3.40 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.31 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.24 | 11.8% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 12.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 20.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.22 | 12.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:23 UTC
Tamworth
4W 1D 5L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against
| 6 Oct | H | Leeds United U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sutton Utd | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Aldershot Town | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Southend | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Harrogate Town | 1-3 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Middlesbrough U21 | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Boston United | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Yeovil Town | 2-3 | L |
Leeds United U21
5W 1D 4L · goals 23:22 · per match 2.3 for, 2.2 against
| 9 Oct | H | Stockport County U21 | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Oct | A | Tamworth | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Barnsley | 4-3 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Newcastle United U21 | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Middlesbrough U21 | 4-4 | D |
| 8 Sep | A | Solihull Moors | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Charlton Athletic U21 | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Liverpool U21 | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 4-3 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Boreham Wood | 2-5 | L |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Tamworth
| 21 Jan 2025National League Cup | National League Cup | Tamworth2-1Leeds United U21 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 2.92 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 2.92 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 2.50 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.92 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.32 | 2.77 | 12.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 2.93 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 2.50 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Average | 1.31 | 2.86 | 11.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tamworth at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leeds United U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.77 | 3.25, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Tamworth win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Tamworth averaged 3 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Leeds United U21 averaged 2.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tamworth or draw and +3.5 goals (goal line signal: over 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.22 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.78 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.45 | 2.33 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.31 | 2.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 2.52 | 3.43 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 24.0 | 2.19 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 16.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.32 | 2.77 |
| 3.5 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| 4.5 | 2.75 | 1.30 |
| 5.5 | 4.50 | 1.10 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.07 | 5.85 |
| 2 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| 2.25 | 1.20 | 3.68 |
| 2.75 | 1.37 | 2.56 |
| 3 | 1.46 | 2.31 |
| 3.25 | 1.64 | 1.99 |
| 3.75 | 1.99 | 1.63 |
| 4 | 2.28 | 1.47 |
| 4.25 | 2.50 | 1.39 |
| 4.75 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 5 | 4.35 | 1.14 |
| 5.25 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 6 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.69 | 1.38 |
| -1 | 2.36 | 1.44 |
| -0.75 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
| -0.5 | 1.85 | 1.79 |
| -0.25 | 1.61 | 2.04 |
| 0 | 1.42 | 2.44 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| -1.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| -1.5 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.34 | 2.87 |
| +0.75 | 1.18 | 3.92 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 5.45 |
| +1.25 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.02 | 8.60 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 10.0 |