AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21• National League Cup, England

2.0:1.01-1FT06/10 · Hornchurch Stadium, London2.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX4.00BFR23.18PINMargin at best7.7%Books7Markets46Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	3.86	3.18	9.2%
1xBet	1.91	3.78	3.14	10.7%
Betfair	1.91	4.00	3.00	10.7%
Bet365	1.95	3.90	2.90	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.78	3.08	11.8%
William Hill	1.95	3.50	3.00	13.2%
BetVictor	1.80	3.50	2.80	19.8%
Best of all books	1.95	4.00	3.18	7.7%
Average	1.91	3.76	3.01	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC HornchurchFulham U21

Last 107Form pts · last 522.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3350Form rating500H2H rating066Goals model3458Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:23 UTC

AFC Hornchurch

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

6 Oct	H	Fulham U21	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Harrogate Town	0-3	L
29 Sep	H	Aldershot Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Altrincham	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Scunthorpe	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Worthing	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	FC Halifax Town	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Ipswich Town U21	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Forest Green	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Boston United	3-2	W

Fulham U21

3W 3D 4L · goals 22:24 · per match 2.2 for, 2.4 against

6 Oct	A	AFC Hornchurch	1-1	D
22 Sep	A	Leicester	1-6	L
19 Sep	A	Chelsea U21	1-3	L
11 Sep	H	Aston Villa U21	3-3	D
8 Sep	A	Braintree	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	Newcastle United U21	4-0	W
26 Aug	H	Borussia Dortmund II	1-4	L
21 Aug	H	Burnley U21	4-3	W
18 Aug	A	Aldershot Town	2-2	D
8 Aug	A	Cardiff City U21	4-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Hornchurch and Fulham U21 on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.01X24%3.74232%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.31	2.83	11.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.32	3.05	8.5%
William Hill	1.35	2.90	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.98	9.3%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.35	3.05	6.9%
Average	1.31	2.86	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Hornchurch 45%Draw 45%Fulham U21 10%

The statistical model rated AFC Hornchurch at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fulham U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.74 | 2.79, which imply roughly 49.8% for a AFC Hornchurch win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, AFC Hornchurch averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fulham U21 averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Hornchurch or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.76	3.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.70	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.31	2.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.51	3.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	24.0	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.0
1.5	1.05	5.70
2.5	1.31	2.84
3.5	1.83	1.78
4.5	2.78	1.29
5.5	4.67	1.09

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.06	6.05
2	1.08	5.50
2.25	1.20	3.72
2.75	1.38	2.53
3	1.47	2.28
3.25	1.65	1.97
3.75	2.01	1.61
4	2.33	1.45
4.25	2.55	1.38
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13
5.25	4.85	1.11
6	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.50	1.39
-0.75	2.09	1.57
-0.5	1.89	1.76
-0.25	1.73	1.92
0	1.47	2.32
+0.25	1.37	2.57

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.70	1.01
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2	5.45	1.08
-1.75	3.98	1.17
-1.5	3.20	1.26
-1.25	2.89	1.34
+0.75	1.19	3.75
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.06	6.10
+1.75	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.02	8.70