OddsFilter

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí• Primera División, Bolivia

#61.6:1.021:15Tomorrow · Cochabamba1.6:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X4.00DAF24.75B365Margin at best6.7%Books7Markets83Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 20:56 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.653.904.757.3%
Dafabet1.634.004.608.1%
Betano1.653.804.509.1%
Betfair1.603.904.609.9%
1xBet1.603.844.5410.6%
William Hill1.623.604.5011.7%
Marathonbet1.583.844.4511.8%
Best of all books1.654.004.756.7%
Average1.623.844.569.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AuroraNacional Potosí
Last 10#6Table position#91.50Points per game1.3511Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5058Defence rating4247Form rating5329H2H rating7153Goals model4746Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Aurora

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

7 OctHABB2-0W
3 OctAReal Potosí1-1D
30 SepHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-2D
25 SepAABB1-0W
19 SepHUniversitario de Vinto4-2W
16 SepAGuabirá1-3L
11 SepASan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-0W
8 SepHReal Potosí1-0W
5 SepHGualberto Villarroel SJ3-0W
1 SepAUniversitario de Vinto1-1D

Nacional Potosí

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:11 · per match 2.4 for, 1.1 against

8 OctAAlways Ready3-2W
3 OctHReal Oruro2-0W
30 SepAReal Tomayapo1-1D
25 SepHAlways Ready9-0W
22 SepHReal Potosí0-1L
20 SepAReal Potosí2-2D
16 SepHAlways Ready0-4L
12 SepAGualberto Villarroel SJ3-0W
9 SepAReal Oruro2-0W
7 SepHBlooming2-1W

Head to head

6Aurora wins
8draws
11Nacional Potosí wins

25 meetings · goals 28:34 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Aurora

10 Jul 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí2-0Aurora
27 Sep 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora1-2Nacional Potosí
16 May 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí3-1Aurora
17 Dec 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora1-1Nacional Potosí
14 Sep 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí1-3Aurora
12 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora4-1Nacional Potosí
3 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí1-0Aurora
22 Jul 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí0-0Aurora
19 Feb 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora2-0Nacional Potosí
9 Sep 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora1-5Nacional Potosí

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Aurora sit 6th with 30 points from 20 games, while Nacional Potosí are 9th with 27 points from 20.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready20136147:13+3445
2Bolívar20143354:22+3245
3The Strongest20126239:22+1742
4Real Potosí2088427:14+1332
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:27+930
6Aurora2079431:27+430
7Guabirá2085732:39-729
8Blooming2069530:22+827
9Nacional Potosí2083930:28+227
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:35-825
11Real Oruro20631132:50-1821
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo21631221:40-1921
13ABB20621231:45-1420
14Universitario de Vinto20531226:39-1318
15Real Tomayapo21451215:39-2417
16Gualberto Villarroel SJ20281021:37-1614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X24%3.84220%4.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 17:011 1.62X 3.842 4.56
11.62 → 1.62 0.0%X3.84 → 3.84 0.0%24.47 → 4.56 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.602.306.0%
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Betano1.602.159.0%
1xBet1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.572.209.1%
Best of all books1.602.306.0%
Average1.592.237.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.602.188.4%
Betano1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.149.2%
Best of all books1.622.207.2%
Average1.602.178.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aurora 10%Draw 45%Nacional Potosí 45%

The statistical model rates Aurora at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nacional Potosí at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.84 | 4.56, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Aurora are 6th (30 pts, 31-27 goals), Nacional Potosí 9th (27 pts, 30-28).

Over their last five matches, Aurora averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nacional Potosí averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional Potosí.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.623.844.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.131.21

Draw no bet

12
1.273.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.17

1st half

1X2
2.142.384.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5115.32.58

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.8
1.51.174.25
2.51.592.23
3.52.411.48
4.54.111.18
5.57.501.05
6.519.01.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.50
1.251.075.80
1.751.183.86
21.233.42
2.251.402.60
2.751.691.96
31.901.75
3.252.151.58
3.752.791.35
43.501.22
4.253.831.19
4.755.101.10
56.801.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.571.42
-1.252.301.52
-12.041.69
-0.751.771.92
-0.51.652.20
-0.251.432.55
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.901.01
-38.301.01
-2.756.131.08
-2.54.881.13
-2.254.441.15
-24.071.18
-1.753.131.30
01.253.41
+0.251.203.88
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.105.63
+11.018.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.09
6.51.154.10
7.51.372.73
8.51.692.04
9.52.111.66
10.52.811.35
11.53.991.16
12.56.081.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.79
61.036.49
6.251.094.96
6.751.173.88
71.203.66
7.251.283.10
7.751.422.58
81.472.42
8.251.582.20
8.751.781.93
91.881.87
9.252.011.71
9.752.291.54
102.521.44
10.252.671.39
10.753.141.27
113.631.20
11.253.811.18
11.754.641.11
125.651.06
12.255.861.05