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Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ• Primera División, Bolivia

#23.6:1.04-2FT18/09 · Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz1.0:2.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.07AVGX10.6AVG222.2AVGMargin7.4%Books7Markets96Rating79 · 21Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Sep 20:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.0812.017.06.8%
William Hill1.108.0023.07.8%
Betano1.108.7515.58.8%
Betfair1.0611.018.09.0%
BetVictor1.0710.018.09.0%
1xBet1.049.0021.012.0%
Marathonbet1.049.0021.012.0%
Best of all books1.1012.023.03.6%
Average1.079.6819.19.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
Last 10#2Table position#162.25Points per game0.7011Form pts · last 533.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 52.478Attack rating2271Defence rating2988Form rating1280H2H rating2085Goals model1579Overall rating21

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Bolívar

7W 3D 0L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

9 OctABlooming1-1D
4 OctAIndependiente Petrolero3-0W
1 OctHGualberto Villarroel SJ3-2W
27 SepHBlooming3-0W
20 SepAThe Strongest1-1D
18 SepHGualberto Villarroel SJ4-2W
14 SepAReal Tomayapo2-1W
11 SepHIndependiente Petrolero1-1D
6 SepAIndependiente Petrolero4-0W
2 SepAGualberto Villarroel SJ1-0W

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

1W 0D 9L · goals 9:26 · per match 0.9 for, 2.6 against

7 OctAIndependiente Petrolero0-1L
4 OctHBlooming3-2W
1 OctABolívar2-3L
27 SepHIndependiente Petrolero1-3L
20 SepAReal Oruro0-1L
18 SepABolívar2-4L
12 SepHNacional Potosí0-3L
10 SepABlooming1-5L
5 SepAAurora0-3L
2 SepHBolívar0-1L

Head to head

8Bolívar wins
0draws
3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins

11 meetings · goals 29:14 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for Bolívar

18 Sep 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar4-2Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2 Sep 2026Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalGualberto Villarroel SJ0-1Bolívar
3 May 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ1-2Bolívar
28 Sep 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ0-2Bolívar
8 Jun 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar1-3Gualberto Villarroel SJ
22 Feb 2025Torneo Amistoso de VeranoTorneo Amistoso de VeranoBolívar7-1Gualberto Villarroel SJ
16 Feb 2025Torneo Amistoso de VeranoTorneo Amistoso de VeranoGualberto Villarroel SJ1-2Bolívar
27 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ3-2Bolívar
31 Jul 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar4-0Gualberto Villarroel SJ
7 Apr 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ2-1Bolívar

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Bolívar sit 2nd with 45 points from 20 games, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 16th with 14 points from 20.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready20136147:13+3445
2Bolívar20143354:22+3245
3The Strongest20126239:22+1742
4Real Potosí2088427:14+1332
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:27+930
6Aurora2079431:27+430
7Guabirá2085732:39-729
8Blooming2069530:22+827
9Nacional Potosí2083930:28+227
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:35-825
11Real Oruro20631132:50-1821
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo21631221:40-1921
13ABB20621231:45-1420
14Universitario de Vinto20531226:39-1318
15Real Tomayapo21451215:39-2417
16Gualberto Villarroel SJ20281021:37-1614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg187%1.07X9%10.624%22.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.126.006.0%
Betfair1.106.506.3%
BetVictor1.086.508.0%
1xBet1.095.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.095.3010.6%
Betano1.124.6011.0%
Best of all books1.126.504.7%
Average1.105.708.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.622.148.5%
Marathonbet1.622.109.3%
Betano1.602.0511.3%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.602.178.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolívar 50%Draw 50%Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0%

The statistical model rated Bolívar at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 10.60 | 22.19, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Bolívar win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Bolívar are 2nd (45 pts, 54-22 goals), Gualberto Villarroel SJ 16th (14 pts, 21-37).

Over their last five matches, Bolívar averaged 3.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gualberto Villarroel SJ averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bolívar and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bolívar

4-4-2

Coach: A. Restrepo

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Lampe

Defence

  • 8L. Paz
  • 33F. Mena
  • 3X. Arreaga
  • 4Jesús Sagredo

Midfield

  • 7J. Velásquez
  • 14R. Matheus
  • 80C. Melgar
  • 23L. Justiniano

Attack

  • 27D. Asprilla
  • 9M. Cauteruccio
Substitutes (5)
  • 5S. Echeverría
  • 18L. Chávez
  • 99D. Batallini
  • 10B. Arce
  • 35E. Rivero

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Baldivieso

Goalkeeper

  • 66D. Akologo

Defence

  • 16Edwin Pardo
  • 33Andrés Nicolás Landa Medreno
  • 36G. Justiniano
  • 19Sebastián Villarroel

Midfield

  • 39Zein Teran Antezana
  • 38L. Vargas
  • 55J. Goyeneche
  • 30L. Zeballos
  • 29S. Galindo

Attack

  • 7A. Cáceres
Substitutes (9)
  • 14M. Calero
  • 5M. Avilés
  • 13G. Arauz
  • 11Moresche
  • 26J. Lencinas
  • 9R. Monteiro
  • 17Elmer Quispe
  • 2J. Ramallo
  • 25Roberto Carlos Rivas Rivera

Match Statistics

BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
520Passes accurate171
15Shots insidebox4
15Shots outsidebox6
7Blocked Shots3
17Free Kicks7
14Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal5
3Offsides1
576Total passes246
30Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards4
10Corner Kicks0
0Goalkeeper Saves10
7Fouls17
0Red Cards0
70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.079.6819.1

Double chance

1XX212
1.026.451.04

Draw no bet

12
1.0314.5

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.17

1st half

1X2
1.333.8411.2

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1738.54.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–34.0
1.51.0215.2
2.51.105.70
3.51.323.03
4.51.751.95
5.52.511.45
6.53.921.19
7.57.001.10
8.513.01.04
9.523.01.01
10.541.0–
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.048.30
21.019.25
2.251.086.60
2.751.114.95
31.134.60
3.251.223.51
3.751.372.70
41.572.25
4.251.672.05
4.751.881.78
52.091.61
5.252.271.52
5.752.821.34
63.341.24
6.253.581.21
75.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.52.231.56
-3.252.051.67
-31.861.83
-2.751.702.01
-2.51.632.15
-2.251.462.49
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.55.651.08
-55.281.11
-4.754.151.19
-4.53.411.25
-4.253.201.29
-42.951.33
-3.752.491.45
-21.332.95
-1.751.283.25
-1.51.253.46
-1.251.164.30
-11.095.93
-0.751.115.28
-0.51.145.75
-0.251.018.80
01.0121.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.25
7.51.253.30
8.51.492.36
9.51.861.86
10.52.341.50
11.53.151.27
12.54.541.12
13.56.981.02
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.76
81.312.97
8.751.532.24
91.642.12
9.251.741.97
9.751.951.72
102.101.65
10.252.221.54
10.752.561.40
112.851.34
124.171.14
136.541.03