Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar• Primera División, Bolivia

#151.0:1.21-2FT14/09 · Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija4.0:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.79AVGX4.06AVG21.55AVGMargin10.0%Books7Markets91Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Sep 01:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	6.00	5.00	1.42	7.1%
BetVictor	6.00	4.80	1.40	8.9%
Betano	5.90	4.80	1.40	9.2%
1xBet	6.48	4.60	1.37	10.2%
Betfair	6.50	5.00	1.33	10.6%
William Hill	5.80	5.00	1.36	10.8%
Marathonbet	6.35	4.60	1.36	11.0%
Best of all books	6.50	5.00	1.42	5.8%
Average	6.15	4.83	1.38	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real TomayapoBolívar

Last 10#15Table position#20.81Points per game2.254Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 54.01.2Goals against · last 51.220Attack rating8050Defence rating5032Form rating6820H2H rating8023Goals model7727Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC

Real Tomayapo

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:27 · per match 0.9 for, 2.7 against

6 Oct	A	Real Oruro	0-4	L
3 Oct	A	Always Ready	0-4	L
30 Sep	H	Nacional Potosí	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Real Oruro	2-1	W
22 Sep	A	Independiente Petrolero	1-5	L
17 Sep	H	Oriente Petrolero	0-2	L
14 Sep	H	Bolívar	1-2	L
10 Sep	H	Always Ready	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	The Strongest	1-3	L
3 Sep	A	Nacional Potosí	1-5	L

Bolívar

7W 3D 0L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

9 Oct	A	Blooming	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Independiente Petrolero	3-0	W
1 Oct	H	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	3-2	W
27 Sep	H	Blooming	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	The Strongest	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	4-2	W
14 Sep	A	Real Tomayapo	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Independiente Petrolero	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Independiente Petrolero	4-0	W
2 Sep	A	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	1-0	W

Head to head

2Real Tomayapo wins

3draws

12Bolívar wins

17 meetings · goals 14:49 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Real Tomayapo

26 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar6-0Real Tomayapo
28 Oct 2025Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Bolívar5-1Real Tomayapo
22 Oct 2025Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Real Tomayapo2-7Bolívar
10 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar5-0Real Tomayapo
6 Apr 2025Primera División	Primera División	Real Tomayapo2-1Bolívar
21 Nov 2024Primera División	Primera División	Real Tomayapo2-2Bolívar
19 May 2024Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar4-1Real Tomayapo
1 Dec 2023Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar4-1Real Tomayapo
2 Nov 2023Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Bolívar2-1Real Tomayapo
21 Jul 2023Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Real Tomayapo1-0Bolívar

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Real Tomayapo sit 15th with 17 points from 21 games, while Bolívar are 2nd with 45 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47:13	+34	45
2	Bolívar	20	14	3	3	54:22	+32	45
3	The Strongest	20	12	6	2	39:22	+17	42
4	Real Potosí	20	8	8	4	27:14	+13	32
5	Oriente Petrolero	20	9	3	8	36:27	+9	30
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	+4	30
7	Guabirá	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29
8	Blooming	20	6	9	5	30:22	+8	27
9	Nacional Potosí	20	8	3	9	30:28	+2	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27:35	-8	25
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21:40	-19	21
13	ABB	20	6	2	12	31:45	-14	20
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	5	3	12	26:39	-13	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15:39	-24	17
16	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	20	2	8	10	21:37	-16	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.79X22%4.06259%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.33	3.25	6.0%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Betano	1.32	2.82	11.2%
Best of all books	1.36	3.25	4.3%
Average	1.32	3.04	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
William Hill	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.47	2.47	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Betano	1.47	2.32	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.75	1.7%
Average	1.46	2.50	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Tomayapo 10%Draw 45%Bolívar 45%

The statistical model rated Real Tomayapo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bolívar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.79 | 4.06 | 1.55, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Real Tomayapo are 15th (17 pts, 15-39 goals), Bolívar 2nd (45 pts, 54-22).

Over their last five matches, Real Tomayapo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bolívar averaged 4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Bolívar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.15	4.83	1.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.80	1.09	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
4.65	1.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
5.52	2.72	1.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.92	24.0	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.8
1.5	1.07	7.12
2.5	1.32	3.03
3.5	1.83	1.88
4.5	2.85	1.36
5.5	5.16	1.13
6.5	10.0	1.06
7.5	19.0	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.06	6.05
2	1.08	5.50
2.25	1.19	3.75
2.75	1.38	2.68
3	1.47	2.39
3.25	1.66	2.05
3.75	2.01	1.67
4	2.32	1.50
4.25	2.60	1.40
4.75	3.35	1.24
5	4.33	1.14
5.25	4.65	1.12
6	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.50	1.45
+1	2.21	1.57
+1.25	1.91	1.79
+1.5	1.72	2.00
+1.75	1.56	2.25
+2	1.40	2.65

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	9.80	1.01
-0.5	6.00	1.12
-0.25	5.60	1.10
0	5.10	1.12
+0.25	3.44	1.25
+0.5	2.85	1.40
+2.25	1.34	2.95
+2.5	1.28	3.23
+2.75	1.20	3.97
+3	1.11	5.35
+3.25	1.10	5.75
+3.5	1.07	6.00
+4	1.01	9.90
+4.5	1.04	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.56
7.5	1.22	3.49
8.5	1.44	2.48
9.5	1.79	1.91
10.5	2.24	1.54
11.5	2.97	1.31
12.5	4.28	1.14
13.5	6.50	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.07	5.31
7	1.08	5.06
7.25	1.15	4.08
7.75	1.25	3.30
8	1.28	3.12
8.25	1.37	2.72
8.75	1.52	2.33
9	1.59	2.19
9.25	1.70	2.03
9.75	1.90	1.80
10	2.03	1.70
10.25	2.15	1.62
10.75	2.46	1.46
11	2.72	1.37
11.25	2.87	1.33
11.75	3.38	1.23
12	3.92	1.17
12.25	4.10	1.15
12.75	4.98	1.09
13	6.08	1.04
13.25	6.29	1.04