Groene Ster vs Gemert• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#131.8:2.01-2FT27/091.6:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.631XBX3.89PIN22.35B365Margin at best6.3%Books4Markets35Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.00	3.74	2.93	10.9%
Betano	1.98	3.75	2.92	11.4%
Bet365	1.95	3.90	2.88	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.74	2.86	12.2%
Best of all books	2.00	3.90	2.93	9.8%
Average	1.98	3.78	2.90	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Groene SterGemert

Last 10#13Table position#111.00Points per game1.114Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4744Defence rating5650Form rating500H2H rating10042Goals model5844Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Groene Ster

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:27 · per match 1.5 for, 2.7 against

3 Oct	A	Rijnvogels	1-5	L
27 Sep	H	Gemert	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	AFC Amsterdam	1-6	L
19 Sep	A	EVV	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zwaluwen	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	TOGB	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Heerjansdam	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Vvsb	3-3	D
22 Aug	A	Excelsior Maassluis	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Roosendaal	1-3	L

Gemert

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Noordwijk	0-4	L
4 Oct	H	FC Lisse	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Groene Ster	2-1	W
23 Sep	A	Ijsselmeervogels	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	UDI '19	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Poortugaal	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	UNA	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	FC 's-Gravenzande	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Dongen	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	GOES	2-2	D

Head to head

3Groene Ster wins

1draws

7Gemert wins

11 meetings · goals 18:23 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Groene Ster

12 Apr 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster1-2Gemert
9 Nov 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Gemert1-0Groene Ster
25 May 2024Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster3-4Gemert
17 Dec 2023Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Gemert3-1Groene Ster
26 Feb 2023Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster1-4Gemert
7 Sep 2022Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Gemert2-1Groene Ster
1 May 2022Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Gemert1-2Groene Ster
5 Sep 2021Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster3-3Gemert
20 Sep 2020Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster3-0Gemert
26 Jan 2020Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Groene Ster2-0Gemert

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 16 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Groene Ster sit 13th with 9 points from 9 games, while Gemert are 11th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	VV Scherpenzeel	9	7	1	1	17:9	+8	22
1	Noordwijk	9	7	1	1	19:2	+17	22
2	SC Genemuiden	9	7	0	2	22:10	+12	21
2	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
3	ACV	9	6	2	1	22:9	+13	20
3	Rijnvogels	9	6	2	1	25:9	+16	20
4	Harkemase Boys	9	6	2	1	17:12	+5	20
4	Excelsior Maassluis	9	6	2	1	19:7	+12	20
5	Excelsior '31	9	6	1	2	23:9	+14	19
5	UDI '19	9	5	2	2	18:9	+9	17
6	TEC	9	6	1	2	28:16	+12	19
6	Zwaluwen	9	5	1	3	11:12	-1	16
7	Sportlust '46	9	4	4	1	16:13	+3	16
7	GOES	9	4	2	3	17:19	-2	14
8	Purmersteijn	9	4	3	2	16:12	+4	15
8	Dongen	9	4	1	4	21:21	0	13
9	Sparta Nijkerk	9	4	2	3	22:18	+4	14
9	Blauw Geel	9	3	3	3	13:11	+2	12
10	Hoogeveen	9	4	1	4	23:19	+4	13
10	Poortugaal	9	4	0	5	9:13	-4	12
11	ADO '20	9	4	1	4	18:19	-1	13
11	Gemert	9	2	4	3	12:17	-5	10
12	Hercules	9	3	1	5	12:20	-8	10
12	Roosendaal	9	3	0	6	15:20	-5	9
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	9	1	3	5	12:17	-5	6
13	Groene Ster	9	2	3	4	14:21	-7	9
14	Staphorst	9	1	3	5	14:20	-6	6
14	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
15	Dovo	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5
15	TOGB	9	2	2	5	13:21	-8	8
16	Eemdijk	8	1	1	6	11:28	-17	4
16	Vvsb	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
17	Hollandia	8	0	1	7	15:27	-12	1
17	Achilles Veen	9	2	0	7	8:20	-12	6
18	SVZW	9	0	1	8	9:27	-18	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.57X24%3.73241%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.57 +29.8%X3.78 → 3.73 -1.3%22.90 → 2.20 -24.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.37	2.72	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Average	1.36	2.79	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Groene Ster 10%Draw 45%Gemert 45%

The statistical model rated Groene Ster at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gemert at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.57 | 3.73 | 2.20, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Groene Ster are 13th (9 pts, 14-21 goals), Gemert 11th (10 pts, 12-17).

Over their last five matches, Groene Ster averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Gemert averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gemert.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.78	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.64	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.46	3.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	22.0	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.11	5.25
2.5	1.37	2.72
3.5	1.97	1.70
4.5	3.14	1.27
5.5	5.25	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.80
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.44	2.43
3	1.56	2.15
3.25	1.78	1.86
3.75	2.21	1.53
4	2.62	1.38
4.25	2.88	1.32
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.08	1.28
-1	2.78	1.34
-0.75	2.26	1.51
-0.25	1.77	1.91
0	1.55	2.23
+0.25	1.42	2.49

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.05
-2	5.95	1.07
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.75	1.23	3.42
+1	1.12	4.75
+1.5	1.08	5.55