Tarancón vs Socuéllamos• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#82.0:1.415:00Today0.6:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88DAFX3.35BTN24.05BTNMargin at best7.7%Books6Markets37Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 11:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.83	3.35	4.05	9.2%
Dafabet	1.88	3.25	3.80	10.3%
Pinnacle	1.82	3.27	4.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.82	3.24	3.99	10.9%
Bet365	1.85	3.30	3.75	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.24	3.88	12.2%
Best of all books	1.88	3.35	4.05	7.7%
Average	1.83	3.27	3.91	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TarancónSocuéllamos

Last 10#8Table position#131.40Points per game0.807Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.077Attack rating2342Defence rating5864Form rating3650H2H rating50100Goals model057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:02 UTC

Tarancón

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

3 Oct	A	Marchamalo	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Guadalajara II	6-2	W
19 Sep	H	CD Villa	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Torrijos	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Illescas	0-1	L
23 May	H	Manchego	0-1	L
17 May	A	Manchego	0-0	D
10 May	H	Cazalegas	3-0	W
3 May	A	Huracán Balazote	3-0	W
25 Apr	H	Guadalajara II	3-0	W

Socuéllamos

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	H	Guadalajara II	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	CD Villa	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Torrijos	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Illescas	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Villarrobledo	0-0	D
3 May	H	Las Palmas II	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Rayo Vallecano II	2-0	W
19 Apr	H	Fuenlabrada	2-3	L
12 Apr	A	Conquense	1-2	L
5 Apr	H	Tenerife II	0-3	L

Head to head

1Tarancón wins

2draws

2Socuéllamos wins

5 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Tarancón

26 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tarancón0-0Socuéllamos
15 Dec 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Socuéllamos0-1Tarancón
17 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tarancón0-0Socuéllamos
1 Oct 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Socuéllamos1-0Tarancón
17 Nov 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Socuéllamos3-1Tarancón

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 9 Oct 18:51 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Tarancón sit 8th with 7 points from 5 games, while Socuéllamos are 13th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	5	5	0	0	8:2	+6	15
2	Villarrobledo	5	3	2	0	8:1	+7	11
3	Illescas	5	3	2	0	7:3	+4	11
4	Torrijos	5	3	2	0	6:2	+4	11
5	Toledo	5	3	1	1	12:6	+6	10
6	CD Villa	5	3	0	2	6:4	+2	9
7	Marchamalo	5	2	2	1	10:7	+3	8
8	Tarancón	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Almansa	5	2	1	2	8:5	+3	7
10	Villacañas	5	2	1	2	6:4	+2	7
11	Noblejas	5	2	1	2	7:8	-1	7
12	San Clemente	5	1	2	2	7:11	-4	5
13	Socuéllamos	5	0	4	1	3:5	-2	4
14	La Solana	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3
15	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3
16	Guadalajara II	5	0	2	3	6:12	-6	2
17	Quintanar del Rey	5	0	2	3	5:11	-6	2
18	Huracán Balazote	5	0	0	5	4:14	-10	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X28%3.28223%3.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 1.83 -14.5%X3.15 → 3.28 +4.1%23.15 → 3.91 +24.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.72	7.2%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.72	5.8%
Average	2.04	1.70	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Average	1.86	1.80	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tarancón 45%Draw 45%Socuéllamos 10%

The statistical model rates Tarancón at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Socuéllamos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.28 | 3.91, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Tarancón win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Tarancón are 8th (7 pts, 10-7 goals), Socuéllamos 13th (4 pts, 3-5).

Over their last five matches, Tarancón averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Socuéllamos averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tarancón or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.28	3.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.81	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.47	2.03	4.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	8.10	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.30
1.5	1.32	2.97
2.5	2.04	1.70
3.5	3.48	1.23
4.5	6.20	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.39	2.66
2	1.51	2.31
2.25	1.77	1.91
2.75	2.29	1.51
3	2.84	1.34
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.91	1.32
-1	2.55	1.42
-0.75	2.06	1.64
-0.5	1.84	1.91
-0.25	1.66	2.12
0	1.34	2.91

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.5	3.34	1.24
+0.25	1.25	3.33
+0.75	1.10	5.05
+1	1.02	8.20