Almansa vs 
Marchamalo• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 11:37 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 8.6% |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 10.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.02 | 2.98 | 10.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.18 | 3.02 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.18 | 2.94 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.29 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 6.7% |
| Average | 2.21 | 3.15 | 2.99 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:02 UTC
Almansa
6W 2D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against
| 4 Oct | A | Manchego | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Huracán Balazote | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Villacañas | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | La Solana | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Noblejas | 2-3 | L |
| 1 May | A | Conquense | 3-0 | W |
| 24 Apr | H | Quintanar del Rey | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Apr | A | Torrijos | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Mar | H | Hogar Alcarreño | 3-2 | W |
| 20 Mar | A | Albacete II | 1-0 | W |
Marchamalo
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against
| 3 Oct | H | Tarancón | 2-2 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Manchego | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Guadalajara II | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Huracán Balazote | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | CD Villa | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Unión Adarve | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Aug | H | Guadalajara | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Pozuelo Alarcón | 1-0 | W |
| 10 May | A | Sonseca | 0-1 | L |
| 3 May | H | Azuqueca | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Almansa and Marchamalo on record.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 9 Oct 18:51 UTC
In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Almansa sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, while Marchamalo are 7th with 8 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.72 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.02 | 1.71 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.90 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.87 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 1.90 | 8.8% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.89 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Almansa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marchamalo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.14 | 3.00, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Almansa win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Almansa are 9th (7 pts, 8-5 goals), Marchamalo 7th (8 pts, 10-7).
Over their last five matches, Almansa averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Marchamalo averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Almansa or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | 3.16 | 2.99 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 1.55 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.77 | 1.89 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.86 | 2.04 | 3.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 9.15 | 2.19 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 6.40 |
| 1.5 | 1.31 | 3.03 |
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.71 |
| 3.5 | 3.43 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 6.05 | 1.09 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 1.75 | 1.37 | 2.71 |
| 2 | 1.50 | 2.34 |
| 2.25 | 1.76 | 1.92 |
| 2.75 | 2.30 | 1.52 |
| 3 | 2.85 | 1.34 |
| 3.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| -0.5 | 2.23 | 1.60 |
| -0.25 | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| 0 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| +0.25 | 1.42 | 2.53 |
| +0.5 | 1.35 | 2.92 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| -1.25 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 3.52 | 1.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.19 | 3.74 |
| +1 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 6.85 |