Águilas II vs Unión Molinense• Tercera División RFEF - Group 13, Spain

#71.0:1.01-1FT04/102.3:1.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.891XBX3.511XB22.40WHMargin at best4.8%Books3Markets33Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.05	3.58	2.26	5.0%
Bet365	2.88	3.20	2.20	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.94	3.14	2.16	12.2%
Best of all books	3.05	3.58	2.26	5.0%
Average	2.96	3.31	2.21	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Águilas IIUnión Molinense

Last 10#7Table position#31.33Points per game1.835Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 52.31.0Goals against · last 51.831Attack rating6964Defence rating3636Form rating6436H2H rating6441Goals model5942Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 11:01 UTC

Águilas II

4W 5D 1L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

26 Sep	A	Santa Cruz	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Bala Azul	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Cotillas CD	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Alcantarilla	1-1	D
10 May	H	UCAM Murcia II	2-2	D
3 May	A	Mazarrón FC	3-2	W
25 Apr	H	El Palmar	2-1	W
19 Apr	A	Balsicas Atlético	2-1	W
11 Apr	H	Unión Molinense	2-1	W
1 Apr	A	Santa Cruz	1-2	L

Unión Molinense

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

27 Sep	H	Mazarrón FC	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	Olímpico Totana	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	San Javier	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Cartagena LU II	4-2	W
24 May	H	Olímpico Totana	0-2	L
17 May	A	Olímpico Totana	0-0	D
10 May	A	Real Murcia II	2-0	W
3 May	H	Yeclano II	2-0	W
26 Apr	A	SFC Minerva	0-2	L
19 Apr	H	Atlético Pulpileño	1-1	D

Head to head

1Águilas II wins

1draws

2Unión Molinense wins

4 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Águilas II

11 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Águilas II2-1Unión Molinense
7 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Unión Molinense4-2Águilas II
15 Mar 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Águilas II0-1Unión Molinense
18 Dec 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Unión Molinense1-1Águilas II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 tableTercera: Group 13updated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table, Águilas II sit 7th with 8 points from 6 games, while Unión Molinense are 3rd with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Santomera	6	5	1	0	14:6	+8	16
2	San Javier	6	4	2	0	11:5	+6	14
3	Unión Molinense	6	3	2	1	13:8	+5	11
4	Santa Cruz	6	2	3	1	9:8	+1	9
5	Alcantarilla	6	2	3	1	5:5	0	9
6	UCAM Murcia II	6	2	2	2	13:7	+6	8
7	Águilas II	6	1	5	0	7:5	+2	8
8	Atlético Pulpileño	6	2	2	2	8:7	+1	8
9	Bala Azul	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
10	Olímpico Totana	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Los Garres	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
12	Cartagena LU II	6	2	2	2	9:10	-1	8
13	SFC Minerva	6	2	2	2	3:4	-1	8
14	Cotillas CD	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
15	Bullas Deportivo	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
16	Balsicas Atlético	5	1	0	4	2:10	-8	3
17	Algar	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
18	Mazarrón FC	6	0	1	5	6:14	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.86X29%3.17239%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.96 → 2.86 -3.4%X3.31 → 3.17 -4.2%22.21 → 2.31 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.80	3.2%
Average	2.06	1.72	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.86	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.86	1.86	7.5%
Average	1.83	1.85	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Águilas II 10%Draw 45%Unión Molinense 45%

The statistical model rated Águilas II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Unión Molinense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 3.17 | 2.31, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table: Águilas II are 7th (8 pts, 7-5 goals), Unión Molinense 3rd (11 pts, 13-8).

Over their last five matches, Águilas II averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Unión Molinense averaged 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Unión Molinense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.96	3.31	2.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.31	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.20	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
3.67	2.09	2.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.22	8.30	1.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.32	3.01
2.5	2.06	1.72
3.5	3.50	1.24
4.5	7.11	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.50
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.40	2.56
2	1.55	2.24
2.25	1.78	1.84
2.75	2.33	1.48
3	2.91	1.33
3.25	3.28	1.25
4	6.18	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.70	1.20
-0.25	2.49	1.42
0	2.17	1.60
+0.25	1.77	1.85
+0.75	1.40	2.56
+1	1.24	3.45

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.60	1.05
-1	5.60	1.08
+1.25	1.17	3.95
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+2	1.01	8.90