Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla• Tercera División RFEF - Group 13, Spain

#91.0:0.70-1FT27/091.0:0.3#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BTNX3.25B36524.161XBMargin at best7.2%Books2Markets19Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.85	3.30	4.05	9.0%
Bet365	1.80	3.25	4.00	11.3%
Best of all books	1.85	3.30	4.05	9.0%
Average	1.83	3.27	4.03	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bala AzulAlcantarilla

Last 10#9Table position#51.33Points per game1.505Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.00.7Goals against · last 50.350Attack rating5033Defence rating6750Form rating5080H2H rating20100Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 17:12 UTC

Bala Azul

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

27 Sep	H	Alcantarilla	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Águilas II	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Mazarrón FC	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Olímpico Totana	2-2	D
9 May	H	UD Caravaca	2-4	L
2 May	A	Cieza	1-3	L
26 Apr	H	Muleño	3-4	L
19 Apr	H	Olímpico Totana	0-0	D
12 Apr	A	Cartagena LU II	3-2	W
5 Apr	H	Real Murcia II	2-0	W

Alcantarilla

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	H	Cotillas CD	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Atlético Pulpileño	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Águilas II	1-1	D
11 May	A	Atlético Pulpileño	0-4	L
4 May	H	Águilas II	2-1	W
27 Apr	A	Lorca Deportiva	0-3	L
20 Apr	H	Santomera	1-4	L
13 Apr	A	UCAM Murcia II	0-0	D
6 Apr	H	Real Murcia II	1-0	W
30 Mar	A	Cartagena LU II	1-0	W

Head to head

1Bala Azul wins

1draws

0Alcantarilla wins

2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Bala Azul

19 Mar 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Bala Azul1-1Alcantarilla
19 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Alcantarilla0-3Bala Azul

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 tableTercera: Group 13updated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table, Bala Azul sit 9th with 8 points from 6 games, while Alcantarilla are 5th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Santomera	6	5	1	0	14:6	+8	16
2	San Javier	6	4	2	0	11:5	+6	14
3	Unión Molinense	6	3	2	1	13:8	+5	11
4	Santa Cruz	6	2	3	1	9:8	+1	9
5	Alcantarilla	6	2	3	1	5:5	0	9
6	UCAM Murcia II	6	2	2	2	13:7	+6	8
7	Águilas II	6	1	5	0	7:5	+2	8
8	Atlético Pulpileño	6	2	2	2	8:7	+1	8
9	Bala Azul	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
10	Olímpico Totana	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Los Garres	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
12	Cartagena LU II	6	2	2	2	9:10	-1	8
13	SFC Minerva	6	2	2	2	3:4	-1	8
14	Cotillas CD	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
15	Bullas Deportivo	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
16	Balsicas Atlético	5	1	0	4	2:10	-8	3
17	Algar	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
18	Mazarrón FC	6	0	1	5	6:14	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X28%3.16223%3.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.83 → 1.83 0.0%X3.28 → 3.16 -3.7%24.03 → 3.97 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.16	1.62	8.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.18	1.64	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	2.00	1.73	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bala Azul 45%Draw 45%Alcantarilla 10%

The statistical model rated Bala Azul at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alcantarilla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.16 | 3.97, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Bala Azul win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table: Bala Azul are 9th (8 pts, 7-7 goals), Alcantarilla 5th (9 pts, 5-5).

Over their last five matches, Bala Azul averaged 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Alcantarilla averaged 1 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bala Azul or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.28	4.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.87	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.07	4.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.70
1.5	1.37	2.80
2	1.64	2.12
2.5	2.18	1.64
3	3.20	1.29
3.5	3.90	1.20
4	6.40	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.30	1.27
-1	2.55	1.44
-0.5	1.85	1.95
0	1.35	2.90