Marino vs Playas Sotavento• Tercera División RFEF - Group 12, Spain

#52.0:1.76-1FT04/100.7:3.0#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.861XBX3.921XB23.901XBMargin at best4.9%Books4Markets39Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.85	3.84	4.04	4.8%
Betano	1.82	3.45	4.00	8.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	3.70	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.44	3.90	12.2%
Best of all books	1.85	3.84	4.04	4.8%
Average	1.80	3.56	3.91	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarinoPlayas Sotavento

Last 10#5Table position#181.67Points per game0.334Form pts · last 522.0Goals for · last 50.71.7Goals against · last 53.075Attack rating2564Defence rating3680Form rating200H2H rating0100Goals model073Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 08:01 UTC

Marino

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

26 Sep	A	Laguna de Duero	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Real Unión de Tenerife	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Panadería Pulido	1-2	L
26 Jul	H	Tenerife	0-6	L
10 May	H	Arucas	1-2	L
1 May	A	Villa Santa Brígida	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Unión Sur Yaiza	0-0	D
18 Apr	A	San Miguel	0-2	L
12 Apr	H	Atlético Paso	0-0	D
8 Apr	A	Tamaraceite	2-2	D

Playas Sotavento

0W 2D 2L · goals 3:10 · per match 0.8 for, 2.5 against

26 Sep	H	Los Llanos	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	UD San Fernando	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Las Palmas III	0-2	L
9 Oct	A	Gévora	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Marino and Playas Sotavento on record.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 tableGroup 12updated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 table, Marino sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Playas Sotavento are 18th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	UD San Fernando	6	5	0	1	16:2	+14	15
2	Panadería Pulido	6	4	1	1	18:12	+6	13
3	Real Unión de Tenerife	6	4	1	1	9:4	+5	13
4	Mensajero	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
5	Marino	6	3	1	2	14:8	+6	10
6	Tenerife C	6	3	1	2	14:11	+3	10
7	Los Llanos	6	3	1	2	8:5	+3	10
8	San Miguel	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
9	Las Palmas III	6	2	3	1	11:8	+3	9
10	San Bartolomé	6	2	3	1	11:10	+1	9
11	Unión Sur Yaiza	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
12	Estrella	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
13	Lanzarote	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	6
14	Villa Santa Brígida	6	1	3	2	5:9	-4	6
15	Anaza	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
16	Laguna de Duero	6	0	2	4	7:13	-6	2
17	Villaverde Norte	6	0	2	4	5:13	-8	2
18	Playas Sotavento	6	0	2	4	4:19	-15	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X25%3.62224%3.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.81 +0.6%X3.56 → 3.62 +1.7%23.91 → 3.80 -2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.93	1.87	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.91	1.83	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Betano	1.75	1.85	11.2%
Best of all books	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Average	1.76	1.87	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marino 50%Draw 50%Playas Sotavento 0%

The statistical model rated Marino at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Playas Sotavento at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.62 | 3.80, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Marino win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 table: Marino are 5th (10 pts, 14-8 goals), Playas Sotavento 18th (2 pts, 4-19).

Over their last five matches, Marino averaged 2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Playas Sotavento averaged 0.7 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Marino and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.80	3.56	3.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.86	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	2.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.43	2.16	4.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	10.5	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.10
1.5	1.28	3.19
2.5	1.92	1.83
3.5	3.11	1.29
4.5	5.62	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.60
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.41	2.52
2.25	1.68	2.07
2.75	2.12	1.58
3	2.59	1.39
3.25	2.99	1.33
3.75	4.05	1.16
4	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.34
-1	2.50	1.44
-0.75	1.99	1.66
-0.5	1.80	1.96
-0.25	1.53	2.21
0	1.32	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.04
-2	6.05	1.06
-1.75	4.14	1.16
-1.5	3.20	1.26
+0.25	1.24	3.34
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.02	8.15

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 matches

21 Oct

Tenerife C – Villa Santa Brígida

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 fixtures and the table