Unionistas II vs Arandina• Tercera División RFEF - Group 8, Spain

#141.0:1.21-0FTToday · Las Pistas del Helmantico, Salamanca1.2:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50B365X3.20B36522.84PINMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets36Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.45	3.20	2.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.44	2.98	2.84	9.8%
Dafabet	2.47	3.10	2.70	9.8%
Bet365	2.40	3.20	2.62	11.1%
William Hill	2.45	2.88	2.80	11.3%
1xBet	2.38	3.04	2.69	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.04	2.69	12.1%
Best of all books	2.47	3.20	2.84	6.9%
Average	2.42	3.06	2.72	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Unionistas IIArandina

Last 10#14Table position#120.80Points per game1.206Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.645Attack rating5557Defence rating4360Form rating4020H2H rating8036Goals model6444Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 02:30 UTC

Unionistas II

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

7 Nov	H	Mirandés II	1-0	W
31 Oct	A	La Virgen del Camino	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Guijuelo	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Atlético Mansillés	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Bembibre	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Cristo Atlético	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Turégano	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Calasanz de Soria	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Salamanca II	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Almazán	1-2	L

Arandina

2W 6D 2L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	H	La Virgen del Camino	0-0	D
1 Nov	A	Guijuelo	2-2	D
24 Oct	H	Atlético Mansillés	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Bembibre	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Cristo Atlético	1-3	L
3 Oct	A	Turégano	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Calasanz de Soria	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Salamanca II	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Almazán	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	UD Santa Marta	0-1	L

Head to head

0Unionistas II wins

1draws

1Arandina wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Unionistas II

22 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 8	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8	Unionistas II2-2Arandina
12 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 8	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8	Arandina2-1Unionistas II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 tableTercera: Group 8updated 14 Nov 02:40 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 table, Unionistas II sit 14th with 8 points from 10 games, while Arandina are 12th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	UD Santa Marta	10	7	2	1	18:6	+12	23
2	Cristo Atlético	10	7	2	1	14:4	+10	23
3	Cultural Leonesa II	10	6	3	1	14:6	+8	21
4	Burgos Promesas	10	6	2	2	15:5	+10	20
5	Palencia CF	10	5	2	3	16:9	+7	17
6	La Virgen del Camino	10	5	2	3	11:11	0	17
7	Almazán	10	4	4	2	17:15	+2	16
8	Bembibre	10	4	3	3	11:11	0	15
9	Villaralbo	10	3	4	3	16:12	+4	13
10	Guijuelo	9	4	1	4	14:10	+4	13
11	Atlético Mansillés	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
12	Arandina	10	2	6	2	13:14	-1	12
13	Turégano	10	2	5	3	12:13	-1	11
14	Unionistas II	10	2	2	6	9:15	-6	8
15	Calasanz de Soria	10	2	1	7	8:21	-13	7
16	Colegios Diocesanos	10	1	3	6	8:18	-10	6
17	Salamanca II	10	1	1	8	8:26	-18	4
18	Mirandés II	10	0	3	7	2:12	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.42X30%3.06233%2.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.36 → 2.44 +3.4%X3.09 → 3.06 -1.0%22.75 → 2.70 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.67	7.3%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.11	1.70	6.2%
Average	2.08	1.67	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Average	1.80	1.87	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Unionistas II 10%Draw 45%Arandina 45%

The statistical model rated Unionistas II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arandina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.06 | 2.72, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 table: Unionistas II are 14th (8 pts, 9-15 goals), Arandina 12th (12 pts, 13-14).

Over their last five matches, Unionistas II averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Arandina averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Arandina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.06	2.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.46	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
3.08	2.00	3.37

2nd half

1	X	2
2.77	2.30	3.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.97	15.5	31.0
HT X	5.87	4.67	6.27
HT 2	29.7	15.7	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	8.25	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.03
1.5	1.33	2.92
2.5	2.08	1.67
3.5	3.63	1.22
4.5	6.70	1.08
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.17	3.95
1.75	1.41	2.59
2	1.57	2.21
2.25	1.82	1.86
2.75	2.37	1.48
3	2.98	1.31
3.25	3.34	1.24
4	6.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.33
-0.5	2.39	1.51
-0.25	2.05	1.68
0	1.75	1.98
+0.25	1.50	2.35
+0.5	1.38	2.77

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.15	1.10
-1.25	4.65	1.12
-1	4.15	1.16
+0.75	1.25	3.37
+1	1.10	5.05
+1.25	1.10	5.05
+1.5	1.06	6.10