Fenix3rd11 pts
La Luz9th7 pts
Fenix3rd11 pts
La Luz9th7 ptsIn the Segunda División table, Fenix sit 3rd with 11 points from 6 games, while La Luz are 9th with 7 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fenix at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and La Luz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.11 | 3.54, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Fenix win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Fenix are 3rd (11 pts, 13-7 goals), La Luz 9th (7 pts, 5-6).
Over their last five matches, Fenix averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; La Luz averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Fenix or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Fenix vs La Luz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 |  Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.01
X
3.11
2
3.54