Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#52.2:0.818:00Tomorrow3.6:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.03DAFX3.45DAF23.301XBMargin at best8.5%Books6Markets40Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.03	3.45	3.15	10.0%
1xBet	1.95	3.40	3.30	11.0%
Betano	2.02	3.35	3.15	11.1%
Bet365	1.95	3.40	3.20	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.93	3.40	3.22	12.3%
BetVictor	1.87	3.13	2.90	19.9%
Best of all books	2.03	3.45	3.30	8.5%
Average	1.96	3.35	3.15	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente Res.Lanús Res.

Last 10#5Table position#61.89Points per game1.8411Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 53.60.8Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6267Defence rating3346Form rating5462H2H rating3862Goals model3856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 19:00 UTC

Independiente Res.

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

3 Nov	A	Newell's Old Boys Res.	2-2	D
27 Oct	H	Defensa y Justicia Res.	4-1	W
20 Oct	A	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	2-1	W
13 Oct	H	Huracán Res.	3-0	W
7 Oct	A	Ferro 2	0-0	D
1 Oct	H	Boca Juniors Res.	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Racing Club Res.	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Colón Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Atl. Rafaela 2	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Platense Res.	1-1	D

Lanús Res.

7W 2D 1L · goals 29:17 · per match 2.9 for, 1.7 against

3 Nov	H	Atl. Rafaela 2	4-2	W
27 Oct	A	Platense Res.	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Quilmes 2	4-1	W
14 Oct	A	Estudiantes La Plata Res	4-4	D
8 Oct	H	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	3-0	W
1 Oct	A	San Martín San Juan Res.	2-0	W
23 Sep	H	Banfield Res.	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Independiente Riva. Res.	3-3	D
10 Sep	A	Deportivo Riestra Res.	1-4	L
1 Sep	H	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	3-1	W

Head to head

3Independiente Res. wins

2draws

3Lanús Res. wins

8 meetings · goals 13:10 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for Independiente Res.

9 Jun 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Lanús Res.0-4Independiente Res.
2 Oct 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.3-1Lanús Res.
29 Apr 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Lanús Res.2-2Independiente Res.
3 Oct 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.1-1Lanús Res.
24 Apr 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Lanús Res.2-0Independiente Res.
27 May 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Lanús Res.1-0Independiente Res.
10 Aug 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.1-2Lanús Res.
29 Apr 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Lanús Res.1-2Independiente Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 10 Nov 20:00 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Independiente Res. sit 5th with 36 points from 19 games, while Lanús Res. are 6th with 35 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.96X26%3.36228%3.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
BetVictor	1.54	1.82	19.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.00	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.95	20.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Average	1.53	2.10	13.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente Res. 45%Draw 45%Lanús Res. 10%

The statistical model rates Independiente Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lanús Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.36 | 3.15, which imply roughly 51% for a Independiente Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Independiente Res. are 5th (36 pts, 38-19 goals), Lanús Res. 6th (35 pts, 40-27).

Over their last five matches, Independiente Res. averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Lanús Res. averaged 3.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.36	3.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.65	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.49	2.15	3.69

2nd half

1	X	2
2.30	2.56	3.39

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.18	14.0	29.5
HT X	5.20	5.35	7.60
HT 2	21.5	14.3	5.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	13.5	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.17	3.56
2.5	1.65	2.00
3.5	2.48	1.37
4.5	4.15	1.12
5.5	4.60	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.28	3.05
2.25	1.45	2.26
2.75	1.77	1.77
3	2.01	1.59
3.25	2.25	1.45
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.63	1.32
-0.75	2.14	1.50
-0.5	1.86	1.63
-0.25	1.69	1.92
0	1.44	2.31
+0.25	1.33	2.62

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.75	1.04
-2	6.05	1.06
-1.5	3.42	1.23
-1.25	2.95	1.26
+0.75	1.18	3.92
+1	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.05	6.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.87	1.87

Next Reserve League matches

11 Nov	Banfield Res. – Racing Club Res.
11 Nov	Ferro 2 – Defensa y Justicia Res.
11 Nov	Instituto Res. – San Lorenzo Res.
11 Nov	Platense Res. – Deportivo Riestra Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

10 Nov	Quilmes 2 0-2 Independiente Riva. Res.
10 Nov	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0-0 Aldosivi Res.
10 Nov	Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-0 Unión Santa Fe Res.
10 Nov	Tigre Res. 0-1 Vélez Sársfield Res.
5 Nov	Racing Club Res. 1-1 Rosario Central Res.
5 Nov	Defensa y Justicia Res. 0-2 Boca Juniors Res.