Instituto Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#211.4:1.618:00Today2.2:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.75BTNX3.25BFR22.03PINMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets41Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.72	3.09	2.03	8.5%
Dafabet	3.75	3.25	1.90	10.1%
Betano	3.75	3.20	1.90	10.5%
Betfair	3.50	3.25	1.95	10.6%
1xBet	3.62	3.20	1.92	11.0%
Bet365	3.40	3.20	1.95	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.52	3.20	1.90	12.3%
William Hill	3.50	2.90	2.00	13.1%
BetVictor	3.20	2.88	1.87	19.4%
Best of all books	3.75	3.25	2.03	6.7%
Average	3.55	3.13	1.94	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Instituto Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.

Last 10#21Table position#11.33Points per game2.356Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 50.439Attack rating6120Defence rating8035Form rating6538H2H rating6226Goals model7433Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 18:02 UTC

Instituto Res.

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

22 Oct	A	Godoy Cruz Res.	1-1	D
13 Oct	H	River Plate Res.	3-2	W
7 Oct	A	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Racing Club Res.	2-2	D
24 Sep	H	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	0-2	L
17 Sep	A	Barracas Central Res.	1-3	L
9 Sep	H	Sarmiento Res.	2-2	D
2 Sep	A	Talleres Córdoba Res.	1-0	W
25 Aug	H	Argentinos Juniors Res.	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Banfield Res.	3-2	W

Vélez Sársfield Res.

5W 5D 0L · goals 15:3 · per match 1.5 for, 0.3 against

21 Oct	A	River Plate Res.	1-1	D
15 Oct	H	Racing Club Res.	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Sarmiento Res.	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Ferro 2	4-0	W
15 Sep	A	Aldosivi Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Unión Santa Fe Res.	0-0	D
25 Aug	H	Atlético Tucumán Res.	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Godoy Cruz Res.	1-1	D

Head to head

1Instituto Res. wins

3draws

3Vélez Sársfield Res. wins

7 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 7: 1W 3D 3L for Instituto Res.

27 May 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-3Instituto Res.
30 Jul 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.0-0Instituto Res.
6 Mar 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Instituto Res.0-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
28 Aug 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-0Instituto Res.
26 Mar 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Instituto Res.2-2Vélez Sársfield Res.
18 Oct 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.1-1Instituto Res.
11 Apr 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-0Instituto Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Instituto Res. sit 21st with 24 points from 18 games, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 1st with 47 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.55X29%3.13246%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.40 → 3.55 +4.4%X3.20 → 3.13 -2.2%21.95 → 1.94 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.28	1.60	6.4%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Betano	2.00	1.67	9.9%
BetVictor	1.88	1.50	19.9%
Best of all books	2.28	1.80	-0.6%
Average	2.06	1.64	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
BetVictor	1.73	1.62	19.5%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.85	1.74	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Instituto Res. 10%Draw 45%Vélez Sársfield Res. 45%

The statistical model rates Instituto Res. at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vélez Sársfield Res. at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.55 | 3.13 | 1.94, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Instituto Res. are 21st (24 pts, 20-21 goals), Vélez Sársfield Res. 1st (47 pts, 42-13).

Over their last five matches, Instituto Res. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Vélez Sársfield Res. averaged 2.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vélez Sársfield Res..

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.55	3.13	1.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.23	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.49	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
4.11	2.01	2.58

2nd half

1	X	2
3.90	2.30	2.32

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.13	15.5	26.0
HT X	7.83	4.60	4.83
HT 2	40.3	16.0	3.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	8.80	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	5.94
1.5	1.34	2.72
2.5	2.06	1.64
3.5	3.62	1.17
4.5	6.40	1.03
5.5	21.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.44	2.38
2	1.58	2.06
2.25	1.84	1.77
2.75	2.41	1.43
3	3.19	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.94	1.29
0	2.52	1.40
+0.25	1.97	1.65
+0.5	1.73	1.91
+0.75	1.51	2.22
+1	1.30	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.01
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.75	4.70	1.12
+1.25	1.23	3.31
+1.5	1.23	3.55
+2	1.02	7.70
+2.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.85

Next Reserve League matches

29 Oct	Barracas Central Res. – Gimnasia La Plata Res.
29 Oct	Ferro 2 – Huracán Res.
29 Oct	Godoy Cruz Res. – Atlético Tucumán Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

28 Oct	Central Córdoba SdE Res. 0-1 Independiente Riva. Res.
28 Oct	Estudiantes La Plata Res 1-1 Deportivo Riestra Res.
28 Oct	Tigre Res. 1-3 Racing Club Res.
28 Oct	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 1-0 Unión Santa Fe Res.
28 Oct	San Lorenzo Res. 0-3 River Plate Res.
28 Oct	Banfield Res. 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Res.