OddsFilter

Ferro 2 vs Independiente Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#260.8:2.218:00Today1.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.421XBX3.80B36521.93PINMargin at best7.4%Books6Markets40Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.683.291.939.4%
Betfair4.003.601.7310.6%
1xBet3.923.321.8110.9%
Bet3654.333.601.6511.5%
Marathonbet3.823.321.7912.2%
BetVictor3.403.101.7319.5%
Best of all books4.333.601.932.7%
Average3.863.371.7712.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ferro 2Independiente Res.
Last 10#26Table position#51.22Points per game1.891Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6431Defence rating699Form rating9150H2H rating5030Goals model7034Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 12:41 UTC

Ferro 2

0W 2D 8L · goals 7:23 · per match 0.7 for, 2.3 against

29 SepAAtl. Rafaela 22-3L
22 SepAVélez Sársfield Res.0-4L
16 SepHPlatense Res.1-1D
8 SepAQuilmes 21-2L
2 SepHEstudiantes La Plata Res0-1L
27 AugACentral Córdoba SdE Res.1-2L
19 AugHSan Martín San Juan Res.0-5L
13 AugAIndependiente Riva. Res.1-2L
5 AugHDeportivo Riestra Res.0-2L
22 JulABelgrano Córdoba Res.1-1D

Independiente Res.

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

1 OctHBoca Juniors Res.2-1W
24 SepARacing Club Res.2-1W
15 SepHColón Res.1-0W
8 SepAAtl. Rafaela 21-2L
2 SepHPlatense Res.1-1D
26 AugAQuilmes 22-1W
19 AugHEstudiantes La Plata Res1-1D
13 AugACentral Córdoba SdE Res.2-0W
5 AugHSan Martín San Juan Res.9-0W
23 JulAIndependiente Riva. Res.2-1W

Head to head

1Ferro 2 wins
0draws
1Independiente Res. wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Ferro 2

5 May 2026Reserve LeagueReserve LeagueIndependiente Res.1-0Ferro 2
16 Sep 2025Reserve LeagueReserve LeagueFerro 23-2Independiente Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 6 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Ferro 2 sit 26th with 22 points from 18 games, while Independiente Res. are 5th with 36 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.20152342:13+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.20123536:12+2439
3Racing Club Res.21116433:26+739
4River Plate Res.21114629:20+937
5Independiente Res.19113538:19+1936
6Lanús Res.19112640:27+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.19104527:18+934
8Quilmes 218103520:12+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.1895438:24+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.1993726:28-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.1878323:19+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res1884625:16+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.1877424:18+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.1883727:29-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.1875627:21+626
16Huracán Res.1875623:17+626
17Rosario Central Res.1875625:22+326
18Platense Res.1875617:20-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.1874725:18+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.1873823:23024
21Instituto Res.1859420:21-124
22San Lorenzo Res.1866622:24-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.1865719:17+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 21865716:19-323
25Banfield Res.1865714:18-423
26Ferro 21864820:23-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.1854921:33-1219
28Colón Res.18531015:23-818
29Aldosivi Res.18531017:28-1118
30Barracas Central Res.1845911:24-1317
31Sarmiento Res.18441016:26-1016
32Tigre Res.18441015:25-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.18431120:30-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 218331221:36-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21825119:32-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.18221416:59-438

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.25X25%3.60248%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 12:117 Oct 16:411 3.25X 3.602 1.86
13.86 → 3.25 -15.8%X3.37 → 3.60 +6.8%21.77 → 1.86 +5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle2.001.795.9%
1xBet1.881.799.1%
Marathonbet1.881.799.1%
BetVictor1.681.6520.1%
Best of all books2.001.951.3%
Average1.861.799.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.771.909.1%
Marathonbet1.771.8710.0%
BetVictor1.601.7519.6%
Best of all books1.771.909.1%
Average1.711.8412.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ferro 2 10%Draw 45%Independiente Res. 45%

The statistical model rates Ferro 2 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente Res. at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.86, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Ferro 2 are 26th (22 pts, 20-23 goals), Independiente Res. 5th (36 pts, 38-19).

Over their last five matches, Ferro 2 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Independiente Res. averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Res..

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.863.371.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.831.191.19

Draw no bet

12
3.031.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.84

1st half

1X2
4.532.122.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.689.201.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.026.80
1.51.243.05
2.51.861.79
3.52.971.25
4.55.351.06
5.511.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.30
1.751.342.85
21.422.39
2.251.651.98
2.752.091.58
32.481.40
3.252.911.33
3.753.841.18
45.201.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.691.34
+0.252.091.57
+0.51.771.80
+0.751.671.99
+11.412.49
+1.251.312.81
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.301.01
-17.401.03
-0.253.101.26
+1.51.272.89
+1.751.173.98
+21.085.60
+2.51.066.35