Independiente Res. vs Boca Juniors Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#51.4:1.02-1FT01/101.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.59PINX3.581XB22.13PINMargin at best2.7%Books1Markets7Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 20:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	3.10	3.20	2.05	12.3%
Best of all books	3.10	3.20	2.05	12.3%
Average	3.10	3.20	2.05	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente Res.Boca Juniors Res.

Last 10#5Table position#21.89Points per game1.9510Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5344Defence rating5648Form rating5262H2H rating3855Goals model4552Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 18:41 UTC

Independiente Res.

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

1 Oct	H	Boca Juniors Res.	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Racing Club Res.	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Colón Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Atl. Rafaela 2	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Platense Res.	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Quilmes 2	2-1	W
19 Aug	H	Estudiantes La Plata Res	1-1	D
13 Aug	A	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	2-0	W
5 Aug	H	San Martín San Juan Res.	9-0	W
23 Jul	A	Independiente Riva. Res.	2-1	W

Boca Juniors Res.

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

25 Sep	A	River Plate Res.	2-2	D
17 Sep	H	Atl. Rafaela 2	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Platense Res.	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Quilmes 2	1-0	W
26 Aug	A	Estudiantes La Plata Res	3-2	W
20 Aug	H	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	0-1	L
12 Aug	A	San Martín San Juan Res.	0-0	D
4 Aug	H	Independiente Riva. Res.	1-0	W
28 Jul	H	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	4-0	W
22 Jul	A	Deportivo Riestra Res.	1-1	D

Head to head

2Independiente Res. wins

3draws

2Boca Juniors Res. wins

7 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Independiente Res.

30 Apr 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Boca Juniors Res.0-1Independiente Res.
7 Aug 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.0-0Boca Juniors Res.
28 Feb 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Boca Juniors Res.1-1Independiente Res.
15 Nov 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Boca Juniors Res.0-2Independiente Res.
25 Jul 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Boca Juniors Res.2-0Independiente Res.
21 Oct 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.0-3Boca Juniors Res.
25 Feb 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.1-1Boca Juniors Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 8 Oct 19:51 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Independiente Res. sit 5th with 36 points from 19 games, while Boca Juniors Res. are 2nd with 39 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.31X29%3.03244%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.10 → 3.34 +7.7%X3.20 → 3.06 -4.4%22.05 → 2.05 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	2.00	1.80	5.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente Res. 45%Draw 45%Boca Juniors Res. 10%

The statistical model rated Independiente Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Boca Juniors Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.31 | 3.03 | 2.05, which imply roughly 30.2% for a Independiente Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Independiente Res. are 5th (36 pts, 38-19 goals), Boca Juniors Res. 2nd (39 pts, 36-12).

Over their last five matches, Independiente Res. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Boca Juniors Res. averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.10	3.20	2.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.28	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.60	2.10	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.00	1.80

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	1.95	1.85