USM Alger vs JS Saoura• Ligue 1, Algeria

#31.3:0.819:15Today0.0:1.3#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55DAFX3.75PIN27.45PINMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets76Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.48	3.75	7.45	7.7%
Dafabet	1.55	3.60	6.40	7.9%
Betano	1.52	3.45	7.00	9.1%
1xBet	1.49	3.48	6.79	10.6%
Betfair	1.47	3.60	6.50	11.2%
William Hill	1.50	3.40	6.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	3.48	6.45	11.8%
Bet365	1.48	3.30	7.00	12.2%
BetVictor	1.44	3.10	5.50	19.9%
Best of all books	1.55	3.75	7.45	4.6%
Average	1.49	3.46	6.62	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

USM AlgerJS Saoura

Last 10#3Table position#141.75Points per game0.678Form pts · last 551.3Goals for · last 50.00.8Goals against · last 51.3100Attack rating057Defence rating4378Form rating2240H2H rating60100Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:50 UTC

USM Alger

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

8 Oct	A	MB Rouisset	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Olympique Akbou	3-2	W
10 Sep	H	JS El Biar	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Khenchela	0-0	D
6 Jun	A	MC Oran	2-2	D
4 Jun	A	Ben Aknoun	2-2	D
2 Jun	H	CR Belouizdad	1-1	D
30 May	A	MB Rouisset	0-1	L
25 May	A	Khenchela	1-2	L
22 May	H	Paradou AC	4-2	W

JS Saoura

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

8 Oct	H	Olympique Akbou	0-0	D
22 Sep	A	US Biskra	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	JS El Biar	0-4	L
13 Sep	A	Horoya	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	Horoya	1-0	W
5 Jun	H	CS Constantine	3-1	W
20 May	A	El Bayadh	0-0	D
12 May	H	CR Belouizdad	0-0	D
7 May	A	Mostaganem	4-0	W
17 Apr	H	Khenchela	3-0	W

Head to head

6USM Alger wins

3draws

10JS Saoura wins

19 meetings · goals 24:24 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for USM Alger

4 Mar 2026Coupe Nationale	Coupe Nationale	USM Alger1-0JS Saoura
21 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	USM Alger1-2JS Saoura
20 Sep 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	JS Saoura1-0USM Alger
26 Apr 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	JS Saoura2-1USM Alger
16 Nov 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	USM Alger2-0JS Saoura
7 Jun 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	JS Saoura2-1USM Alger
11 Jan 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	USM Alger2-1JS Saoura
27 Jun 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	JS Saoura2-0USM Alger
21 Oct 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	USM Alger1-1JS Saoura
5 Mar 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	USM Alger0-0JS Saoura

Ligue 1 tableDivision-1updated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, USM Alger sit 3rd with 7 points from 4 games, while JS Saoura are 14th with 2 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CR Belouizdad	5	4	1	0	9:5	+4	13
2	MC Oran	3	2	1	0	3:0	+3	7
3	USM Alger	4	2	1	1	5:3	+2	7
4	CS Constantine	5	2	1	2	9:8	+1	7
5	MC Alger	2	2	0	0	3:0	+3	6
6	Ben Aknoun	4	1	3	0	6:5	+1	6
7	JS Kabylie	3	2	0	1	2:1	+1	6
8	MB Rouisset	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
9	Khenchela	4	1	2	1	3:2	+1	5
10	ES Setif	4	1	1	2	5:3	+2	4
11	Olympique Akbou	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
12	JS El Biar	5	1	1	3	8:9	-1	4
13	Témouchent	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
14	JS Saoura	3	0	2	1	0:4	-4	2
15	US Biskra	4	0	2	2	2:7	-5	2
16	ASO Chlef	4	0	1	3	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.49X26%3.46214%6.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.49 -24.0%X2.91 → 3.46 +18.9%24.03 → 6.62 +64.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.39	1.54	6.8%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Betano	2.37	1.50	8.9%
1xBet	2.35	1.47	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.35	1.47	10.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.40	20.2%
Best of all books	2.40	1.54	6.6%
Average	2.33	1.49	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
1xBet	2.45	1.48	8.4%
William Hill	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Betano	2.45	1.47	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.45	1.46	9.3%
BetVictor	2.15	1.36	20.0%
Best of all books	2.62	1.53	3.5%
Average	2.42	1.46	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

USM Alger 45%Draw 45%JS Saoura 10%

The statistical model rates USM Alger at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and JS Saoura at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 3.46 | 6.62, which imply roughly 67.1% for a USM Alger win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: USM Alger are 3rd (7 pts, 5-3 goals), JS Saoura 14th (2 pts, 0-4).

Over their last five matches, USM Alger averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; JS Saoura averaged 0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : USM Alger.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.49	3.46	6.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.36	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	4.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.42	1.46

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	1.99	6.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	6.60	3.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.68
1.5	1.43	2.51
2.5	2.33	1.49
3.5	4.34	1.15
4.5	8.55	1.04
5.5	19.5	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.05
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.27	3.28
1.75	1.54	2.14
2	1.76	1.86
2.25	2.02	1.61
2.75	2.84	1.35
3	3.78	1.19
3.25	4.20	1.15
3.75	5.90	1.07
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.64	1.42
-1.25	2.23	1.53
-1	1.90	1.77
-0.75	1.62	2.06
-0.5	1.51	2.30
-0.25	1.30	3.16

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.13	1.05
-2.5	5.38	1.11
-2.25	4.88	1.13
-2	4.48	1.16
-1.75	3.23	1.29
0	1.14	4.97
+0.25	1.09	5.71
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+0.75	1.05	7.58
+1	1.01	8.80
+1.25	1.01	8.65
+1.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.73
6.5	1.22	3.47
7.5	1.47	2.41
8.5	1.85	1.85
9.5	2.39	1.48
10.5	3.29	1.25
11.5	4.89	1.09
12.5	6.99	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.07	5.45
6	1.08	5.18
6.25	1.15	4.08
6.75	1.25	3.26
7	1.29	3.06
7.25	1.39	2.66
7.75	1.55	2.26
8	1.63	2.13
8.25	1.75	1.96
8.75	1.98	1.74
9	2.13	1.63
9.25	2.26	1.55
9.75	2.63	1.40
10	2.97	1.31
10.25	3.14	1.27
10.75	3.77	1.18
11	4.49	1.12
11.25	4.70	1.11
11.75	5.81	1.05
12	7.33	1.01
12.25	6.76	1.02