Auto Esporte vs Picuiense• Paraibano 2, Brazil

1.8:0.84-0FT30/090.8:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44WHX5.50BTN29.00BVCMargin9.3%Books1Markets8Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.45	4.00	5.75	11.4%
Best of all books	1.45	4.00	5.75	11.4%
Average	1.45	4.00	5.75	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Auto EsportePicuiense

Last 1011Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3156Defence rating4469Form rating31100H2H rating0100Goals model071Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Oct 01:41 UTC

Auto Esporte

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

27 Sep	A	São Paulo Crystal	3-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cruzeiro PB	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Spartax	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	Santa Rita	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Femar	2-1	W
22 Feb	A	Serra Branca	1-5	L
16 Feb	A	Nacional de Patos	1-3	L
13 Feb	A	Pombal EC	1-1	D
9 Feb	A	Picuiense	2-1	W
2 Feb	H	EC de Patos	2-3	L

Picuiense

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:29 · per match 0.7 for, 2.9 against

27 Sep	A	Serrano PB	1-1	D
24 Sep	H	Guarabira	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	São Paulo Crystal	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Femar	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Spartax	0-1	L
19 Feb	H	EC de Patos	0-5	L
15 Feb	A	Botafogo PB	0-3	L
12 Feb	H	Treze	2-6	L
9 Feb	H	Auto Esporte	1-2	L
3 Feb	A	Serra Branca	0-8	L

Head to head

4Auto Esporte wins

0draws

0Picuiense wins

4 meetings · goals 10:1 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for Auto Esporte

9 Feb 2025Paraibano	Paraibano	Picuiense1-2Auto Esporte
3 Oct 2024Paraibano 2	Paraibano 2	Auto Esporte3-0Picuiense
30 Sep 2024Paraibano 2	Paraibano 2	Picuiense0-1Auto Esporte
28 Aug 2024Paraibano 2	Paraibano 2	Picuiense0-4Auto Esporte

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.31X19%4.77211%8.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.45 → 1.31 -9.7%X4.00 → 4.77 +19.2%25.75 → 8.33 +44.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.75	2.05	5.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Auto Esporte 45%Draw 45%Picuiense 10%

The statistical model rated Auto Esporte at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Picuiense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 4.77 | 8.33, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Auto Esporte win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Auto Esporte averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Picuiense averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Auto Esporte or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	4.00	5.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.40	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.50

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.38	6.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	11.0	3.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.75	2.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.00	1.80