AZ Picerno vs Cosenza• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#91.4:2.41-2FT12/10 · Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno0.6:1.8#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.01PINX3.45DAF24.33B365Margin at best1.8%Books9Markets82Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.82	3.45	4.30	7.2%
Pinnacle	1.97	3.21	3.84	8.0%
BetVictor	2.00	3.25	3.60	8.5%
Betano	1.87	3.20	3.95	10.0%
Betfair	1.91	3.30	3.60	10.4%
1xBet	1.94	3.06	3.74	11.0%
Bet365	1.75	3.25	4.20	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.06	3.64	12.2%
William Hill	1.95	3.10	3.40	13.0%
Best of all books	2.00	3.45	4.30	2.2%
Average	1.90	3.21	3.81	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AZ PicernoCosenza

Last 10#9Table position#191.33Points per game0.563Form pts · last 521.4Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 51.870Attack rating3043Defence rating5760Form rating4050H2H rating5082Goals model1861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Oct 20:00 UTC

AZ Picerno

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	A	Potenza	2-4	L
26 Sep	H	Audace Cerignola	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Team Altamura	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Catania	2-4	L
12 Sep	A	Sorrento	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Inter U23	4-1	W
1 Sep	A	Bari	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Scafatese	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Savoia	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	Barletta	2-1	W

Cosenza

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

4 Oct	H	Foggia	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	Bari	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Scafatese	1-1	D
15 Sep	A	Giugliano	2-5	L
12 Sep	H	Cavese	0-0	D
7 Sep	A	Catania	0-4	L
2 Sep	A	Sorrento	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Potenza	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Audace Cerignola	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Crotone	2-0	W

Head to head

1AZ Picerno wins

0draws

1Cosenza wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for AZ Picerno

13 Apr 2026Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	AZ Picerno3-1Cosenza
7 Dec 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Cosenza1-0AZ Picerno

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 12 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, AZ Picerno sit 9th with 12 points from 9 games, while Cosenza are 19th with 5 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
8	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
9	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
10	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
11	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
12	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
13	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
14	Inter U23	7	3	1	3	12:13	-1	10
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.92X28%3.23224%3.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.91 +14.4%X3.44 → 3.21 -6.7%24.67 → 3.80 -18.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Average	1.97	1.76	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Average	1.80	1.88	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AZ Picerno 45%Draw 45%Cosenza 10%

The statistical model rated AZ Picerno at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cosenza at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.23 | 3.75, which imply roughly 52.1% for a AZ Picerno win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: AZ Picerno are 9th (12 pts, 17-17 goals), Cosenza 19th (5 pts, 7-19).

Over their last five matches, AZ Picerno averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Cosenza averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : AZ Picerno and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	3.21	3.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.76	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.06	4.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	8.45	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.27
1.5	1.30	3.19
2.5	1.97	1.76
3.5	3.41	1.27
4.5	6.77	1.07
5.5	12.3	1.02
6.5	15.1	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.37	2.77
2	1.49	2.40
2.25	1.72	1.98
2.75	2.22	1.56
3	2.71	1.39
3.25	3.04	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.12	1.31
-1	2.75	1.39
-0.75	2.21	1.59
-0.5	1.89	1.87
-0.25	1.66	2.11
0	1.40	2.74

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	8.68	1.01
-2.5	7.20	1.05
-2.25	6.81	1.07
-2	6.37	1.08
-1.75	4.36	1.16
-1.5	3.43	1.25
+0.25	1.29	3.28
+0.5	1.22	4.15
+0.75	1.13	5.02
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.25	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.00
6.5	1.17	3.98
7.5	1.40	2.63
8.5	1.74	1.96
9.5	2.21	1.58
10.5	2.88	1.33
11.5	4.04	1.16
12.5	6.16	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.71
6	1.03	6.41
6.25	1.09	4.89
6.75	1.18	3.84
7	1.20	3.62
7.25	1.29	3.06
7.75	1.42	2.56
8	1.50	2.38
8.25	1.59	2.19
8.75	1.79	1.92
9	1.92	1.80
9.25	2.02	1.70
9.75	2.31	1.53
10	2.55	1.43
10.25	2.69	1.38
10.75	3.17	1.27
11	3.68	1.20
11.25	3.86	1.18
11.75	4.69	1.11
12	5.73	1.06
12.25	5.94	1.05