Casarano vs Salernitana• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#131.0:1.00-0FT11/10 · Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano1.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.86PINX3.50BVC22.37DAFMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets76Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.45	2.37	6.9%
Pinnacle	2.86	3.35	2.33	7.7%
BetVictor	2.75	3.50	2.30	8.4%
Betano	2.80	3.25	2.30	10.0%
Betfair	2.63	3.40	2.30	10.9%
Bet365	2.80	3.20	2.25	11.4%
1xBet	2.66	3.28	2.27	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.66	3.28	2.27	12.1%
William Hill	2.75	3.10	2.25	13.1%
Best of all books	2.86	3.50	2.37	5.7%
Average	2.75	3.31	2.29	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CasaranoSalernitana

Last 10#13Table position#81.22Points per game1.447Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6455Defence rating4541Form rating5920H2H rating8060Goals model4040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Casarano

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	A	Sorrento	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	SS Monopoli	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Savoia	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Audace Cerignola	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Barletta	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Bari	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Giugliano	4-3	W
21 Aug	A	Potenza	1-4	L
16 Aug	A	Bari	0-1	L
20 May	A	Union Brescia	0-0	D

Salernitana

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	H	Bari	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Crotone	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Giugliano	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Barletta	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	Potenza	4-2	W
6 Sep	H	Cavese	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Foggia	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	Sorrento	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Scafatese	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Sambiase	2-1	W

Head to head

0Casarano wins

1draws

1Salernitana wins

2 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Casarano

10 Feb 2026Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Salernitana3-0Casarano
28 Sep 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Casarano2-2Salernitana

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 12 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Casarano sit 13th with 11 points from 9 games, while Salernitana are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
8	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
9	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
10	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
11	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
12	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
13	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
14	Inter U23	7	3	1	3	12:13	-1	10
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.75X27%3.32240%2.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.75 +5.8%X3.16 → 3.31 +4.7%22.39 → 2.29 -4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.72	2.09	6.0%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.69	2.07	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.55	2.30	8.0%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.56	2.25	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Casarano 10%Draw 45%Salernitana 45%

The statistical model rated Casarano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Salernitana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.75 | 3.32 | 2.30, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Casarano are 13th (11 pts, 10-13 goals), Salernitana 8th (13 pts, 12-10).

Over their last five matches, Casarano averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Salernitana averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Salernitana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.75	3.31	2.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.37	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.05	1.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
3.28	2.21	2.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.03	12.9	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.0
1.5	1.20	4.06
2.5	1.69	2.07
3.5	2.70	1.41
4.5	4.92	1.14
5.5	9.30	1.04
6.5	11.3	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.02	8.50
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.28	3.17
2.25	1.49	2.41
2.75	1.86	1.84
3	2.12	1.63
3.25	2.40	1.48
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.50	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.83	1.40
-0.25	2.37	1.51
0	2.04	1.70
+0.25	1.73	1.99
+0.5	1.59	2.28
+0.75	1.39	2.71

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.01
-2	9.70	1.01
-1.75	7.20	1.05
-1.5	5.62	1.10
-1.25	5.15	1.12
-1	4.65	1.14
-0.75	3.34	1.27
+1	1.24	3.57
+1.25	1.19	4.00
+1.5	1.16	4.42
+1.75	1.09	5.78
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.03	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.80
6.5	1.13	4.33
7.5	1.37	2.76
8.5	1.71	2.00
9.5	2.13	1.63
10.5	2.66	1.38
11.5	3.72	1.19
12.5	5.65	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.51
6	1.02	6.99
6.25	1.08	5.27
6.75	1.15	4.11
7	1.17	3.89
7.25	1.25	3.25
7.75	1.38	2.70
8	1.44	2.52
8.25	1.54	2.29
8.75	1.72	2.00
9	1.83	1.88
9.25	1.94	1.77
9.75	2.20	1.58
10	2.39	1.49
10.25	2.55	1.43
10.75	2.98	1.31
11	3.42	1.23
11.25	3.59	1.20
11.75	4.34	1.13
12	5.24	1.08
12.25	5.44	1.07