Salernitana vs Bari• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#81.6:1.22-1FT04/10 · Stadio Arechi, Salerno1.4:0.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35B365X3.611XB23.05PINMargin at best3.0%Books5Markets44Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.38	3.46	2.94	4.9%
Betano	2.40	3.05	2.95	8.4%
Betfair	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.88	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.08	2.81	12.1%
Best of all books	2.40	3.46	2.95	4.5%
Average	2.35	3.12	2.88	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SalernitanaBari

Last 10#8Table position#21.44Points per game2.1110Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 50.253Attack rating4714Defence rating8638Form rating6236H2H rating6446Goals model5438Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Salernitana

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	H	Bari	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Crotone	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Giugliano	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Barletta	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	Potenza	4-2	W
6 Sep	H	Cavese	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Foggia	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	Sorrento	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Scafatese	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Sambiase	2-1	W

Bari

6W 3D 1L · goals 12:5 · per match 1.2 for, 0.5 against

26 Sep	H	Cosenza	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sorrento	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Potenza	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Team Altamura	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Casarano	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	AZ Picerno	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Barletta	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Cavese	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Casarano	1-0	W
22 May	A	Sudtirol	0-0	D

Head to head

0Salernitana wins

5draws

2Bari wins

7 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 7: 0W 5D 2L for Salernitana

15 Mar 2025Serie B	Serie B	Bari0-0Salernitana
10 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Salernitana0-2Bari
31 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Bari1-1Salernitana
7 Apr 2018Serie B	Serie B	Bari1-1Salernitana
4 Nov 2017Serie B	Serie B	Salernitana2-2Bari
25 Apr 2017Serie B	Serie B	Salernitana0-0Bari
3 Dec 2016Serie B	Serie B	Bari2-0Salernitana

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 12 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Salernitana sit 8th with 13 points from 9 games, while Bari are 2nd with 19 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
8	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
9	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
10	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
11	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
12	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
13	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
14	Inter U23	7	3	1	3	12:13	-1	10
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X28%3.18232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.26 -3.8%X3.12 → 3.18 +1.9%22.88 → 2.85 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.70	5.3%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.15	1.65	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.16	1.66	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.87	5.8%
Average	1.85	1.82	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Salernitana 10%Draw 45%Bari 45%

The statistical model rated Salernitana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bari at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.18 | 2.81, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Salernitana are 8th (13 pts, 12-10 goals), Bari 2nd (19 pts, 13-6).

Over their last five matches, Salernitana averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bari averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bari.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.35	3.12	2.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.50	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	2.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.07	2.01	3.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	7.95	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.78
1.5	1.37	2.86
2.5	2.16	1.65
3.5	3.83	1.22
4.5	7.46	1.05
5.5	10.3	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.20
1	1.07	6.10
1.25	1.20	3.92
1.75	1.44	2.49
2	1.61	2.16
2.25	1.88	1.84
2.75	2.45	1.46
3	3.09	1.30
3.25	3.57	1.23
3.75	4.90	1.11
4	6.65	1.06
4.25	7.53	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.77	1.38
-0.5	2.37	1.55
-0.25	1.99	1.73
0	1.67	2.05
+0.25	1.48	2.43
+0.5	1.40	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	9.00	1.02
-1.75	6.33	1.08
-1.5	4.77	1.14
-1.25	4.33	1.17
-1	3.85	1.21
+0.75	1.24	3.52
+1	1.11	5.37
+1.25	1.09	5.83
+1.5	1.08	6.33
+1.75	1.01	8.50