Potenza vs AZ Picerno• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#12.2:1.44-2FT04/10 · Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza1.8:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61PINX4.271XB25.75BVCMargin at best2.9%Books5Markets53Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.60	4.36	5.20	4.7%
Betano	1.60	4.05	4.90	7.6%
Betfair	1.55	3.90	5.00	10.2%
Bet365	1.60	3.60	4.75	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.53	3.80	4.85	12.3%
Best of all books	1.60	4.36	5.20	4.7%
Average	1.58	3.94	4.94	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PotenzaAZ Picerno

Last 10#1Table position#92.44Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 532.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.855Attack rating4556Defence rating4463Form rating3862H2H rating3869Goals model3161Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Potenza

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

4 Oct	H	AZ Picerno	4-2	W
27 Sep	A	Barletta	4-1	W
20 Sep	H	Cavese	4-2	W
15 Sep	A	Bari	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Salernitana	2-4	L
5 Sep	H	SS Monopoli	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	SS Monopoli	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Cosenza	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Casarano	4-1	W
8 Aug	A	Ascoli	1-3	L

AZ Picerno

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	A	Potenza	2-4	L
26 Sep	H	Audace Cerignola	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Team Altamura	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Catania	2-4	L
12 Sep	A	Sorrento	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Inter U23	4-1	W
1 Sep	A	Bari	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Scafatese	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Savoia	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	Barletta	2-1	W

Head to head

7Potenza wins

4draws

2AZ Picerno wins

13 meetings · goals 18:12 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Potenza

1 Feb 2026Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	AZ Picerno2-0Potenza
21 Sep 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Potenza2-0AZ Picerno
4 May 2025Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Potenza2-0AZ Picerno
2 Mar 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Potenza2-2AZ Picerno
21 Oct 2024Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	AZ Picerno1-1Potenza
18 Mar 2024Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Potenza1-0AZ Picerno
13 Nov 2023Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	AZ Picerno3-1Potenza
11 May 2023Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	AZ Picerno0-1Potenza
12 Feb 2023Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Potenza2-2AZ Picerno
15 Oct 2022Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	AZ Picerno2-2Potenza

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 12 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Potenza sit 1st with 22 points from 9 games, while AZ Picerno are 9th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
8	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
9	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
10	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
11	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
12	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
13	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
14	Inter U23	7	3	1	3	12:13	-1	10
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.55X24%3.85218%5.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.55 -1.9%X3.94 → 3.80 -3.6%24.94 → 5.08 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.77	2.00	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.83	1.90	7.3%
Average	1.80	1.88	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Potenza 45%Draw 45%AZ Picerno 10%

The statistical model rated Potenza at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AZ Picerno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.09, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Potenza win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Potenza are 1st (22 pts, 24-12 goals), AZ Picerno 9th (12 pts, 17-17).

Over their last five matches, Potenza averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; AZ Picerno averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.94	4.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.21	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.29	5.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	11.9	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.33
1.5	1.23	3.69
2.5	1.77	2.00
3.5	2.83	1.38
4.5	4.99	1.13
5.5	8.50	1.05
6.5	11.8	1.02
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.20
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.12	5.12
1.75	1.26	3.20
2	1.34	2.89
2.25	1.57	2.28
2.75	1.92	1.75
3	2.25	1.56
3.25	2.56	1.45
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.38	1.15
4.25	4.88	1.13
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.49	1.46
-1.25	2.22	1.58
-1	1.94	1.78
-0.75	1.72	1.99
-0.5	1.55	2.36
-0.25	1.40	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.00	1.08
-2.5	4.67	1.14
-2.25	4.32	1.17
-2	3.97	1.19
-1.75	2.98	1.33
0	1.20	3.95
+0.25	1.16	4.47
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.09	6.06
+1	1.02	8.40
+1.5	1.02	9.05