Perugia vs Vado• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#80.8:1.80-2FT11/10 · Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia0.6:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.58PIN25.00B365Margin at best2.0%Books9Markets79Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.75	3.50	4.60	7.5%
BetVictor	1.70	3.50	4.80	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.72	3.58	4.48	8.4%
Betano	1.75	3.30	4.45	9.9%
Betfair	1.65	3.50	4.75	10.2%
Bet365	1.65	3.30	5.00	10.9%
1xBet	1.67	3.32	4.78	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.32	4.65	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.00	4.00	12.4%
Best of all books	1.85	3.58	5.00	2.0%
Average	1.71	3.37	4.61	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PerugiaVado

Last 10#8Table position#121.44Points per game1.226Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 50.61.8Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4336Defence rating6460Form rating400H2H rating061Goals model3954Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Perugia

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Gubbio	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	Reggiana	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Grosseto	0-2	L
16 Sep	H	Spezia	0-3	L
13 Sep	A	Ravenna	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Pineto	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Vis Pesaro	2-2	D
23 Aug	H	Ostia Mare	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Vis Pesaro	1-2	L
26 Apr	A	Forli	1-1	D

Vado

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	H	Forli	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Torres	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Pescara	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Livorno	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Campobasso FC	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Reggiana	1-3	L
2 Sep	A	Spezia	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Pianese	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Atalanta II	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Inter U23	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Perugia and Vado on record.

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Perugia sit 8th with 13 points from 9 games, while Vado are 12th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	9	8	1	0	17:4	+13	25
2	Ravenna	9	6	2	1	16:5	+11	20
3	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	+8	18
4	Torres	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
5	Livorno	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
6	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	14
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	9	3	4	2	11:8	+3	13
8	Perugia	9	4	1	4	9:14	-5	13
9	Campobasso FC	9	3	3	3	13:14	-1	12
10	Pescara	9	3	3	3	11:12	-1	12
11	Forli	9	2	5	2	14:13	+1	11
12	Vado	9	3	2	4	8:8	0	11
13	Latina	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10
14	Ostia Mare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
15	Atalanta II	8	3	0	5	8:13	-5	9
16	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
18	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
19	Sambenedettese	9	1	3	5	12:15	-3	6
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.71X27%3.37220%4.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.71 +18.8%X3.76 → 3.37 -10.4%26.21 → 4.61 -25.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.17	1.66	6.3%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.12	1.67	7.1%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
BetVictor	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.17	1.67	6.0%
Average	2.12	1.65	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.01	1.70	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Perugia 45%Draw 45%Vado 10%

The statistical model rated Perugia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vado at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.37 | 4.61, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Perugia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Perugia are 8th (13 pts, 9-14 goals), Vado 12th (11 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Perugia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Vado averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Perugia or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	3.37	4.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.98	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
2.32	2.06	5.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	8.15	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.93
1.5	1.36	2.91
2.5	2.12	1.65
3.5	3.87	1.21
4.5	7.68	1.05
5.5	14.1	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.44	2.49
2	1.60	2.17
2.25	1.86	1.83
2.75	2.44	1.46
3	3.12	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	4.89	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.06	1.32
-1.25	2.70	1.40
-1	2.34	1.54
-0.75	1.90	1.81
-0.5	1.71	2.07
-0.25	1.47	2.47

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-3	9.30	1.02
-2.75	8.75	1.01
-2.5	6.48	1.07
-2.25	6.06	1.08
-2	5.60	1.10
-1.75	3.81	1.21
0	1.26	3.39
+0.25	1.21	3.91
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.08	6.49
+1	1.02	8.80
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.85
7.5	1.29	3.05
8.5	1.57	2.22
9.5	1.95	1.75
10.5	2.51	1.45
11.5	3.44	1.23
12.5	4.94	1.09

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.62
7	1.13	4.38
7.25	1.20	3.60
7.75	1.31	2.95
8	1.39	2.68
8.25	1.46	2.47
8.75	1.62	2.14
9	1.77	1.95
9.25	1.82	1.88
9.75	2.05	1.68
10	2.30	1.54
10.25	2.34	1.51
10.75	2.71	1.37
11	3.06	1.29
11.25	3.22	1.26
11.75	3.84	1.18
12	4.56	1.12
12.25	4.75	1.10
12.75	5.84	1.05
13	7.28	1.01