Forli vs Livorno• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#111.0:1.01-1FT11/10 · Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli1.4:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44DAFX3.30PIN22.80BVCMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets75Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.44	3.30	2.80	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.39	3.30	2.80	7.9%
BetVictor	2.40	3.20	2.80	8.6%
Betano	2.40	3.10	2.77	10.0%
Bet365	2.35	3.10	2.75	11.2%
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.70	11.3%
1xBet	2.32	3.12	2.69	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.32	3.12	2.69	12.3%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.70	13.8%
Best of all books	2.44	3.30	2.80	7.0%
Average	2.36	3.17	2.74	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ForliLivorno

Last 10#11Table position#51.22Points per game1.676Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5862Defence rating3846Form rating5450H2H rating5081Goals model1954Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Forli

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Vado	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Ostia Mare	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Torres	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Pineto	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Vis Pesaro	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Latina	0-2	L
1 Sep	A	Ravenna	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Pescara	6-3	W
23 Aug	A	Sambenedettese	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Juventus U23	1-1	D

Livorno

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Forli	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Pescara	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Pianese	3-2	W
21 Sep	A	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Vado	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Spezia	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Atalanta II	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Novara	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Pineto	0-0	D
24 Aug	H	Torres	2-1	W

Head to head

1Forli wins

1draws

1Livorno wins

3 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Forli

8 Mar 2026Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Forli1-1Livorno
2 Nov 2025Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Livorno2-3Forli
18 May 2025Serie D - Championship Round	Serie D - Championship Round	Livorno3-1Forli

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Forli sit 11th with 11 points from 9 games, while Livorno are 5th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	9	8	1	0	17:4	+13	25
2	Ravenna	9	6	2	1	16:5	+11	20
3	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	+8	18
4	Torres	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
5	Livorno	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
6	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	14
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	9	3	4	2	11:8	+3	13
8	Perugia	9	4	1	4	9:14	-5	13
9	Campobasso FC	9	3	3	3	13:14	-1	12
10	Pescara	9	3	3	3	11:12	-1	12
11	Forli	9	2	5	2	14:13	+1	11
12	Vado	9	3	2	4	8:8	0	11
13	Latina	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10
14	Ostia Mare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
15	Atalanta II	8	3	0	5	8:13	-5	9
16	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
18	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
19	Sambenedettese	9	1	3	5	12:15	-3	6
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.36X29%3.17233%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 2.36 -2.5%X3.22 → 3.17 -1.6%22.55 → 2.74 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.08	1.72	6.2%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.02	1.75	6.6%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.75	3.7%
Average	2.02	1.72	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.77	1.93	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Forli 45%Draw 45%Livorno 10%

The statistical model rated Forli at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Livorno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.17 | 2.74, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Forli win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Forli are 11th (11 pts, 14-13 goals), Livorno 5th (15 pts, 11-10).

Over their last five matches, Forli averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Livorno averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Forli or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.36	3.17	2.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.49	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	2.07	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	9.65	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	8.65
1.5	1.32	3.09
2.5	2.02	1.72
3.5	3.56	1.25
4.5	7.08	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.39	2.70
2	1.52	2.35
2.25	1.76	1.93
2.75	2.30	1.53
3	2.74	1.38
3.25	2.99	1.32
3.75	4.39	1.14
4	6.20	1.06
4.25	6.60	1.05
4.75	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.84	1.37
-0.5	2.36	1.54
-0.25	2.04	1.70
0	1.73	2.01
+0.25	1.52	2.35
+0.5	1.41	2.74

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.40	1.03
-1.75	6.60	1.07
-1.5	4.97	1.13
-1.25	4.43	1.16
-1	3.86	1.21
+0.75	1.27	3.38
+1	1.12	5.00
+1.25	1.10	5.58
+1.5	1.08	6.03
+1.75	1.05	7.73
+2	1.03	8.85
+2.5	1.01	9.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.39
6.5	1.19	3.67
7.5	1.46	2.46
8.5	1.87	1.84
9.5	2.36	1.51
10.5	3.09	1.29
11.5	4.39	1.13
12.5	6.83	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.10
6	1.05	5.81
6.25	1.12	4.50
6.75	1.21	3.56
7	1.24	3.36
7.25	1.33	2.87
7.75	1.48	2.41
8	1.65	2.16
8.25	1.66	2.08
8.75	1.87	1.83
9	2.01	1.71
9.25	2.12	1.63
9.75	2.44	1.47
10	2.72	1.37
10.25	2.88	1.33
10.75	3.42	1.23
11	4.01	1.16
11.25	4.20	1.14
11.75	5.15	1.08
12	6.38	1.03
12.25	6.61	1.03