Vado vs Forli• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#120.6:1.61-0FT03/10 · Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante1.0:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.73PINX3.601XB22.51PINMargin at best4.2%Books5Markets42Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.75	3.54	2.46	5.3%
Betano	2.75	3.20	2.47	8.1%
Betfair	2.63	3.25	2.38	10.8%
Bet365	2.62	3.10	2.40	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.61	3.14	2.38	12.2%
Best of all books	2.75	3.54	2.47	5.1%
Average	2.67	3.25	2.42	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VadoForli

Last 10#12Table position#111.22Points per game1.224Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6343Defence rating5714Form rating860H2H rating053Goals model4737Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Vado

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	H	Forli	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Torres	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Pescara	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Livorno	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Campobasso FC	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Reggiana	1-3	L
2 Sep	A	Spezia	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Pianese	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Atalanta II	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Inter U23	1-1	D

Forli

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Vado	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Ostia Mare	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Torres	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Pineto	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Vis Pesaro	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Latina	0-2	L
1 Sep	A	Ravenna	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Pescara	6-3	W
23 Aug	A	Sambenedettese	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Juventus U23	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Vado and Forli on record.

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Vado sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Forli are 11th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	9	8	1	0	17:4	+13	25
2	Ravenna	9	6	2	1	16:5	+11	20
3	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	+8	18
4	Torres	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
5	Livorno	9	4	3	2	11:10	+1	15
6	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	14
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	9	3	4	2	11:8	+3	13
8	Perugia	9	4	1	4	9:14	-5	13
9	Campobasso FC	9	3	3	3	13:14	-1	12
10	Pescara	9	3	3	3	11:12	-1	12
11	Forli	9	2	5	2	14:13	+1	11
12	Vado	9	3	2	4	8:8	0	11
13	Latina	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10
14	Ostia Mare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
15	Atalanta II	8	3	0	5	8:13	-5	9
16	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
18	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
19	Sambenedettese	9	1	3	5	12:15	-3	6
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X28%3.24238%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 2.64 -1.1%X3.25 → 3.24 -0.3%22.42 → 2.44 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.78	5.2%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.02	1.75	6.6%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.78	5.0%
Average	2.02	1.75	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Average	1.77	1.91	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vado 10%Draw 45%Forli 45%

The statistical model rated Vado at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Forli at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 3.24 | 2.41, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Vado are 12th (11 pts, 8-8 goals), Forli 11th (11 pts, 14-13).

Over their last five matches, Vado averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Forli averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Forli and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	3.25	2.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.39	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.93	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.36	2.09	3.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	8.80	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.28
1.5	1.32	3.11
2.5	2.02	1.75
3.5	3.44	1.26
4.5	6.54	1.07
5.5	9.50	1.03
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.06	6.57
1.25	1.18	4.19
1.75	1.39	2.65
2	1.52	2.33
2.25	1.77	1.95
2.75	2.27	1.54
3	2.77	1.36
3.25	3.14	1.30
3.75	4.25	1.15
4	5.73	1.09
4.25	6.25	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.67	1.44
-0.25	2.28	1.56
0	1.94	1.77
+0.25	1.67	2.06
+0.5	1.53	2.41
+0.75	1.35	2.89

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	7.10	1.04
-1.5	5.52	1.11
-1.25	5.05	1.13
-1	4.50	1.15
-0.75	3.19	1.29
+1	1.19	3.97
+1.25	1.16	4.40
+1.5	1.13	4.87
+1.75	1.08	6.44
+2	1.01	9.50