OddsFilter

Gubbio vs Perugia• Serie C - Girone B, Italy

#181.6:1.61-3FT03/10 · Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio0.6:1.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.14PINX3.591XB22.41PINMargin at best1.2%Books5Markets42Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.883.472.424.9%
Betano2.873.052.458.4%
Betfair2.803.102.3011.5%
Marathonbet2.743.052.3312.2%
Bet3652.753.002.3512.3%
Best of all books2.883.472.454.4%
Average2.813.132.379.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GubbioPerugia
Last 10#18Table position#80.78Points per game1.441Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 51.873Attack rating2753Defence rating4754Form rating4662H2H rating3868Goals model3261Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 15:31 UTC

Gubbio

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

10 OctASpezia0-2L
3 OctHPerugia1-3L
27 SepARavenna0-2L
20 SepHOstia Mare0-2L
16 SepAPescara1-1D
12 SepHLatina3-1W
5 SepACampobasso FC4-2W
2 SepHVis Pesaro5-0W
30 AugHReggiana1-2L
22 AugAGuidonia Montecelio 19370-3L

Perugia

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHVado0-2L
3 OctAGubbio3-1W
27 SepHReggiana1-0W
20 SepAGrosseto0-2L
16 SepHSpezia0-3L
13 SepARavenna0-3L
6 SepHPineto2-1W
30 AugAVis Pesaro2-2D
23 AugHOstia Mare1-0W
15 AugHVis Pesaro1-2L

Head to head

3Gubbio wins
3draws
3Perugia wins

9 meetings · goals 8:8 · last 9: 3W 3D 3L for Gubbio

18 Jan 2026Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPerugia0-1Gubbio
6 Sep 2025Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio1-1Perugia
20 Jan 2025Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio1-0Perugia
15 Sep 2024Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPerugia1-1Gubbio
17 Mar 2024Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio0-1Perugia
12 Nov 2023Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPerugia1-0Gubbio
17 Mar 2021Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BGubbio3-2Perugia
21 Nov 2020Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BPerugia0-0Gubbio
6 Aug 2017Coppa ItaliaCoppa ItaliaPerugia2-1Gubbio

Serie C - Girone B tableSerie C: Girone Bupdated 14 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone B table, Gubbio sit 18th with 7 points from 9 games, while Perugia are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spezia981017:4+1325
2Ravenna962116:5+1120
3Grosseto953117:9+818
4Torres943211:10+115
5Livorno943211:10+115
6Reggiana842212:7+514
7Guidonia Montecelio 1937934211:8+313
8Perugia94149:14-513
9Campobasso FC933313:14-112
10Pescara933311:12-112
11Forli925214:13+111
12Vado93248:8011
13Latina92439:10-110
14Ostia Mare92349:10-19
15Atalanta II83058:13-59
16Pianese91446:10-47
17Pineto81436:11-57
18Gubbio921610:18-87
19Sambenedettese913512:15-36
20Vis Pesaro811610:19-94

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.25X30%3.09242%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 03:111 Oct 13:311 2.89X 3.112 2.32
12.81 → 2.89 +2.8%X3.13 → 3.11 -0.6%22.37 → 2.32 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.121.725.3%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Betano2.221.626.8%
Marathonbet2.151.609.0%
Best of all books2.251.722.6%
Average2.191.646.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.881.828.1%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.799.9%
Best of all books1.911.827.3%
Average1.871.818.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gubbio 45%Draw 45%Perugia 10%

The statistical model rated Gubbio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Perugia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.09 | 2.15, which imply roughly 30.8% for a Gubbio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone B table: Gubbio are 18th (7 pts, 10-18 goals), Perugia 8th (13 pts, 9-14).

Over their last five matches, Gubbio averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Perugia averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gubbio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.813.132.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.361.29

Draw no bet

12
2.001.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.81

1st half

1X2
3.562.003.11

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.118.151.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.90
1.51.382.79
2.52.191.64
3.53.881.21
4.57.681.05
5.510.41.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.50
11.086.15
1.251.203.93
1.751.472.44
21.642.09
2.251.921.80
2.752.521.44
33.201.27
3.253.671.22
3.755.151.10
47.051.05
4.258.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.751.42
-0.252.381.51
02.001.72
+0.251.692.03
+0.51.542.39
+0.751.352.89
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.701.01
-1.56.351.07
-1.255.821.09
-15.281.11
-0.753.461.24
+11.184.07
+1.251.144.60
+1.51.125.10
+1.751.067.01
+21.019.50