Renate vs Giana Erminio• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#200.8:1.212:3011/10 · Mino Favini, Meda0.8:1.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.94DAFX3.40BFR24.08PINMargin at best5.5%Books9Markets46Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 19:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.94	3.40	3.80	7.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.38	4.08	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	3.40	3.80	8.4%
Betfair	1.91	3.40	3.70	8.8%
Betano	1.91	3.25	3.70	10.2%
1xBet	1.87	3.18	3.84	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.18	3.74	12.2%
Bet365	1.91	3.20	3.40	13.0%
William Hill	1.85	3.00	3.75	14.1%
Best of all books	1.94	3.40	4.08	5.5%
Average	1.89	3.27	3.76	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RenateGiana Erminio

Last 10#20Table position#190.38Points per game0.503Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5543Form rating5750H2H rating5042Goals model5847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Renate

0W 4D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Ospitaletto	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Treviso	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	1-2	L
17 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Lumezzane	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	Novara	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Cittadella	1-4	L
31 Aug	H	Cittadella	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Alcione	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Lumezzane	2-2	D

Giana Erminio

0W 5D 5L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

4 Oct	A	Treviso	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Folgore Caratese	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Trento	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Lecco	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-2	L
2 Sep	A	Union Brescia	2-5	L
30 Aug	A	Lumezzane	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Albinoleffe	1-2	L
16 Aug	H	Folgore Caratese	1-1	D

Head to head

8Renate wins

3draws

7Giana Erminio wins

18 meetings · goals 24:21 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Renate

10 Jan 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Giana Erminio0-1Renate
30 Aug 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Renate1-1Giana Erminio
7 May 2025Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Renate1-2Giana Erminio
18 Jan 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Giana Erminio2-1Renate
13 Sep 2024Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Renate1-0Giana Erminio
20 Apr 2024Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Renate0-2Giana Erminio
16 Dec 2023Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Giana Erminio2-1Renate
26 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Renate1-1Giana Erminio
26 Mar 2022Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Renate3-1Giana Erminio
21 Nov 2021Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Giana Erminio0-1Renate

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Renate sit 20th with 3 points from 8 games, while Giana Erminio are 19th with 4 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	+8	16
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X28%3.27224%3.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 1.89 -14.1%X3.03 → 3.27 +7.9%23.04 → 3.76 +23.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.02	1.75	6.6%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.81	4.0%
Average	1.98	1.76	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.81	1.87	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Renate 33%Draw 33%Giana Erminio 33%

The statistical model rates Renate at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Giana Erminio at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.27 | 3.76, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Renate win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Renate are 20th (3 pts, 6-12 goals), Giana Erminio 19th (4 pts, 6-10).

Over their last five matches, Renate averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Giana Erminio averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.89	3.27	3.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.78	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.49	2.09	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	8.65	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.48
1.5	1.31	3.15
2.5	1.98	1.76
3.5	3.42	1.27
4.5	6.78	1.07
5.5	12.3	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.70
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.37	2.78
2	1.49	2.41
2.25	1.71	1.99
2.75	2.21	1.57
3	2.69	1.39
3.25	3.02	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.08	1.32
-1	2.70	1.40
-0.75	2.15	1.62
-0.5	1.90	1.86
-0.25	1.63	2.14
0	1.38	2.80

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2.25	6.70	1.05
-2	6.43	1.07
-1.75	4.38	1.16
-1.5	3.41	1.25
+0.25	1.28	3.30
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.13	4.78
+1	1.03	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.01	8.70