Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#150.6:0.412:30Tomorrow · Giuseppe Voltini, Crema1.0:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.23DAFX3.20BFR23.40PINMargin at best5.5%Books9Markets58Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 19:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.17	3.15	3.45	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.18	3.07	3.40	7.9%
BetVictor	2.15	3.13	3.30	8.8%
Betano	2.15	3.05	3.25	10.1%
1xBet	2.14	2.91	3.36	10.9%
Betfair	2.15	3.10	3.10	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.12	2.91	3.26	12.2%
Bet365	2.05	3.00	3.25	12.9%
William Hill	2.15	2.80	3.25	13.0%
Best of all books	2.18	3.15	3.45	6.6%
Average	2.14	3.01	3.29	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PergoletteseAthletic Carpi

Last 10#15Table position#161.00Points per game0.757Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6385Defence rating1578Form rating220H2H rating00Goals model10067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC

Pergolettese

1W 7D 2L · goals 4:6 · per match 0.4 for, 0.6 against

3 Oct	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Trento	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Lecco	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Folgore Caratese	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Novara	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Juventus U23	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Union Brescia	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Cittadella	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Inter U23	0-0	D

Athletic Carpi

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	A	PRO Vercelli	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Novara	2-2	D
17 Sep	H	Ospitaletto	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Cittadella	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Juventus U23	3-3	D
21 Aug	A	Union Brescia	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Pianese	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Pergolettese and Athletic Carpi on record.

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Pergolettese sit 15th with 8 points from 8 games, while Athletic Carpi are 16th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	+8	16
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X30%3.02228%3.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.26	1.62	6.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betano	2.22	1.62	6.8%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.26	1.62	6.0%
Average	2.22	1.60	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.91	1.78	8.5%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pergolettese 35%Draw 35%Athletic Carpi 30%

The statistical model rates Pergolettese at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Athletic Carpi at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.02 | 3.29, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Pergolettese win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Pergolettese are 15th (8 pts, 3-5 goals), Athletic Carpi 16th (6 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Pergolettese averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Athletic Carpi averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Pergolettese or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.01	3.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.59	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	1.97	4.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	7.40	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.38
1.5	1.38	2.78
2.5	2.22	1.60
3.5	4.09	1.19
4.5	8.12	1.05
5.5	13.9	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.65
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.48	2.41
2	1.65	2.08
2.25	1.92	1.77
2.75	2.56	1.42
3	3.31	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.15	1.10
4	7.60	1.03
4.25	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.45
-0.5	2.14	1.66
-0.25	1.84	1.87
0	1.52	2.36
+0.25	1.37	2.82
+0.5	1.34	3.19

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.80	1.02
-2.25	8.95	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.10
-1.5	4.32	1.17
-1.25	3.71	1.23
-1	3.38	1.27
+0.75	1.17	4.30
+1	1.06	6.77
+1.25	1.06	7.06
+1.5	1.05	7.60
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.10	4.83
6.5	1.30	3.02
7.5	1.58	2.23
8.5	2.01	1.72
9.5	2.68	1.40
10.5	3.85	1.18
11.5	5.94	1.05

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.13	4.32
7	1.39	2.67
8	1.79	1.91
9	2.40	1.48
10	3.48	1.22
11	5.50	1.06