Novara vs Cittadella• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#110.8:1.215:30Tomorrow · Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara1.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X3.25BVC22.42PINMargin at best5.4%Books9Markets61Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 19:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.00	3.20	2.34	7.3%
Pinnacle	3.08	3.12	2.31	7.8%
BetVictor	2.90	3.25	2.30	8.7%
Betano	2.92	3.05	2.32	10.1%
1xBet	2.91	3.02	2.31	10.8%
Betfair	2.80	3.10	2.30	11.5%
Bet365	2.75	3.10	2.30	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.83	3.02	2.29	12.1%
William Hill	2.90	2.88	2.30	12.7%
Best of all books	3.08	3.25	2.34	6.0%
Average	2.90	3.08	2.31	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NovaraCittadella

Last 10#11Table position#11.13Points per game2.635Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.631Attack rating6933Defence rating6729Form rating7150H2H rating5012Goals model8834Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC

Novara

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Ospitaletto	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Athletic Carpi	2-2	D
17 Sep	A	Lumezzane	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Pergolettese	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Renate	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Livorno	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Folgore Caratese	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Juventus U23	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Alcione	1-0	W

Cittadella

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

3 Oct	H	Albinoleffe	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Lecco	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Ospitaletto	1-0	W
17 Sep	H	Juventus U23	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Athletic Carpi	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Lumezzane	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Renate	4-1	W
31 Aug	A	Renate	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Pergolettese	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Atalanta II	2-2	D

Head to head

2Novara wins

2draws

3Cittadella wins

7 meetings · goals 9:11 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Novara

19 Apr 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Novara0-1Cittadella
14 Dec 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Cittadella2-2Novara
30 Sep 2020Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Cittadella3-1Novara
11 Feb 2018Serie B	Serie B	Cittadella1-3Novara
16 Sep 2017Serie B	Serie B	Novara1-0Cittadella
11 Feb 2017Serie B	Serie B	Novara1-1Cittadella
17 Sep 2016Serie B	Serie B	Cittadella3-1Novara

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Novara sit 11th with 9 points from 8 games, while Cittadella are 1st with 21 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	+8	16
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.90X29%3.09239%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.02	1.79	5.4%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Average	1.98	1.75	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.94	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Novara 10%Draw 45%Cittadella 45%

The statistical model rates Novara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cittadella at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.90 | 3.09 | 2.31, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Novara are 11th (9 pts, 8-10 goals), Cittadella 1st (21 pts, 14-4).

Over their last five matches, Novara averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Cittadella averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cittadella.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.90	3.08	2.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.35	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.07	1.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
3.54	2.06	2.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	8.80	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.17
1.5	1.31	3.15
2.5	1.98	1.75
3.5	3.41	1.27
4.5	6.88	1.07
5.5	12.3	1.02
6.5	15.1	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.38	2.74
2	1.49	2.39
2.25	1.73	1.96
2.75	2.23	1.56
3	2.72	1.39
3.25	3.10	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.94	1.38
-0.25	2.48	1.47
0	2.09	1.66
+0.25	1.75	1.97
+0.5	1.58	2.30
+0.75	1.39	2.74

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.10	1.02
-1.5	6.07	1.08
-1.25	5.68	1.10
-1	5.18	1.12
-0.75	3.52	1.25
+1	1.23	3.71
+1.25	1.18	4.17
+1.5	1.14	4.60
+1.75	1.08	6.03
+2.25	1.03	7.50
+2.5	1.01	9.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.02
6.5	1.15	4.06
7.5	1.37	2.71
8.5	1.68	2.07
9.5	2.13	1.64
10.5	2.83	1.36
11.5	4.03	1.16
12.5	6.14	1.04

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.03	6.42
7	1.20	3.64
8	1.48	2.41
9	1.90	1.80
10	2.54	1.43
11	3.66	1.20
12	5.71	1.06