PRO Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#121.0:1.82-0FT03/10 · Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli1.2:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.17PINX3.731XB23.15BTNMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets47Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.19	3.62	3.16	4.9%
Betano	2.15	3.15	3.35	8.1%
Betfair	2.20	3.25	3.00	9.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.10	3.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.10	3.12	12.2%
Best of all books	2.20	3.62	3.35	2.9%
Average	2.15	3.24	3.17	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PRO VercelliAthletic Carpi

Last 10#12Table position#161.00Points per game0.755Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.845Attack rating5550Defence rating5050Form rating500H2H rating10061Goals model3948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

PRO Vercelli

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Athletic Carpi	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Giana Erminio	1-1	D
21 Sep	A	Trento	0-4	L
17 Sep	H	Alcione	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Treviso	1-2	L
7 Sep	H	Folgore Caratese	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Athletic Carpi	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Desenzano Calvina	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Pergolettese	1-1	D

Athletic Carpi

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	A	PRO Vercelli	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Novara	2-2	D
17 Sep	H	Ospitaletto	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Cittadella	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Juventus U23	3-3	D
21 Aug	A	Union Brescia	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Pianese	3-2	W

Head to head

0PRO Vercelli wins

1draws

0Athletic Carpi wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for PRO Vercelli

2 Sep 2026Coppa Italia Serie C

Coppa Italia Serie C

Athletic Carpi1-1PRO Vercelli

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, PRO Vercelli sit 12th with 9 points from 9 games, while Athletic Carpi are 16th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	+10	19
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.09X27%3.36229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.15 → 2.11 -1.9%X3.24 → 3.32 +2.5%23.17 → 3.06 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.99	1.81	5.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.98	1.78	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.75	1.93	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PRO Vercelli 10%Draw 45%Athletic Carpi 45%

The statistical model rated PRO Vercelli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Athletic Carpi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.36 | 3.11, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: PRO Vercelli are 12th (9 pts, 8-13 goals), Athletic Carpi 16th (6 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, PRO Vercelli averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Athletic Carpi averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Carpi.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.24	3.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.60	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.08	3.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	9.30	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.60
1.5	1.31	3.19
2.5	1.98	1.78
3.5	3.34	1.28
4.5	6.47	1.08
5.5	10.3	1.03
6.5	14.1	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.03	7.65
1.25	1.15	4.53
1.75	1.34	2.78
2	1.48	2.41
2.25	1.74	2.00
2.75	2.22	1.56
3	2.71	1.38
3.25	3.10	1.31
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.95	1.07
4.25	6.48	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.46
-0.5	2.13	1.67
-0.25	1.83	1.87
0	1.54	2.30
+0.25	1.39	2.74
+0.5	1.32	3.30

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.02
-2.25	8.82	1.01
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.75	5.50	1.10
-1.5	4.13	1.18
-1.25	3.70	1.22
-1	3.29	1.27
+0.75	1.19	4.01
+1	1.08	6.07
+1.25	1.07	6.63
+1.5	1.05	7.13
+1.75	1.01	8.60