Lecco vs Union Brescia• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#130.8:1.02-2FT04/10 · Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco1.6:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.41PINX3.601XB21.90B365Margin at best3.1%Books5Markets46Rating34 · 67Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.14	3.60	1.89	4.8%
Betano	4.20	3.30	1.85	8.2%
Betfair	3.90	3.25	1.85	10.5%
Bet365	4.10	3.20	1.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.96	3.18	1.80	12.3%
Best of all books	4.20	3.60	1.89	4.5%
Average	4.06	3.31	1.84	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeccoUnion Brescia

Last 10#13Table position#21.13Points per game2.008Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6738Defence rating6344Form rating560H2H rating1000Goals model034Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:03 UTC

Lecco

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	H	Union Brescia	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Cittadella	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Pergolettese	0-0	D
17 Sep	A	Desenzano Calvina	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Giana Erminio	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Trento	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Treviso	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Desenzano Calvina	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Atalanta II	2-3	L

Union Brescia

5W 4D 1L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	A	Lecco	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Alcione	4-0	W
17 Sep	H	Treviso	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Trento	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Desenzano Calvina	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Giana Erminio	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Pergolettese	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Athletic Carpi	3-1	W
9 Aug	A	Arezzo	0-2	L

Head to head

0Lecco wins

0draws

2Union Brescia wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Lecco

28 Feb 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Union Brescia3-1Lecco
19 Oct 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Lecco0-1Union Brescia

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 03:41 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Lecco sit 13th with 9 points from 8 games, while Union Brescia are 2nd with 16 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	+8	16
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.96X28%3.18249%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.06 → 3.96 -2.5%X3.31 → 3.18 -3.9%21.84 → 1.86 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.19	1.67	5.5%
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Betano	2.22	1.62	6.8%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.30	1.67	3.4%
Average	2.22	1.62	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.74	5.1%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lecco 10%Draw 45%Union Brescia 45%

The statistical model rated Lecco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Brescia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.96 | 3.18 | 1.86, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Lecco are 13th (9 pts, 6-8 goals), Union Brescia 2nd (16 pts, 14-6).

Over their last five matches, Lecco averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Union Brescia averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Union Brescia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.06	3.31	1.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.17	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
3.10	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
4.80	2.01	2.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.68	7.35	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.39
1.5	1.39	2.74
2.5	2.22	1.62
3.5	3.98	1.20
4.5	7.70	1.05
5.5	11.0	1.02
6.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.60
1	1.07	6.15
1.25	1.22	3.75
1.75	1.47	2.42
2	1.61	2.11
2.25	1.92	1.80
2.75	2.50	1.44
3	3.03	1.29
3.25	3.56	1.23
3.75	4.80	1.11
4	6.50	1.05
4.25	7.18	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.98	1.34
+0.25	2.21	1.58
+0.5	1.93	1.84
+0.75	1.67	2.07
+1	1.44	2.57
+1.25	1.34	2.95

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.01
-1.25	8.57	1.01
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.75	5.28	1.11
-0.5	4.10	1.23
-0.25	3.42	1.25
+1.5	1.26	3.38
+1.75	1.17	4.30
+2	1.08	6.30
+2.25	1.07	6.70
+2.5	1.04	6.95