Alcione vs Trento• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#81.4:2.02-2FT04/10 · Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni1.4:0.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.42PINX3.621XB22.141XBMargin at best3.6%Books5Markets44Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.04	3.46	2.32	4.9%
Betano	3.05	3.10	2.32	8.1%
Betfair	2.88	3.10	2.30	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.94	3.02	2.22	12.2%
Bet365	2.90	3.00	2.25	12.3%
Best of all books	3.05	3.46	2.32	4.8%
Average	2.96	3.14	2.28	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlcioneTrento

Last 10#8Table position#51.38Points per game1.756Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5017Defence rating8340Form rating6025H2H rating7538Goals model6235Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Alcione

2W 5D 3L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

4 Oct	H	Trento	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Union Brescia	0-4	L
17 Sep	A	PRO Vercelli	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Folgore Caratese	3-2	W
7 Sep	H	Treviso	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Renate	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Novara	0-1	L
30 Jul	A	Mantova	2-6	L

Trento

4W 5D 1L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

4 Oct	A	Alcione	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Pergolettese	0-0	D
21 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	4-0	W
17 Sep	A	Giana Erminio	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Union Brescia	0-0	D
7 Sep	H	Lecco	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Desenzano Calvina	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Desenzano Calvina	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Treviso	2-1	W
14 Aug	H	Ospitaletto	2-1	W

Head to head

1Alcione wins

0draws

3Trento wins

4 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Alcione

4 Apr 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Trento1-0Alcione
30 Nov 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Alcione2-0Trento
17 Mar 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Trento1-0Alcione
2 Nov 2024Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Alcione0-1Trento

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Alcione sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, while Trento are 5th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	+10	19
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.27X28%3.24244%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.96 → 3.27 +10.5%X3.14 → 3.26 +3.8%22.28 → 2.05 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.14	1.70	5.6%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.15	1.65	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.15	1.66	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alcione 10%Draw 45%Trento 45%

The statistical model rated Alcione at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Trento at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.27 | 3.24 | 2.03, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Alcione are 8th (11 pts, 12-13 goals), Trento 5th (14 pts, 11-5).

Over their last five matches, Alcione averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Trento averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Trento.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.96	3.14	2.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.31	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.16	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.67	2.00	3.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	8.10	1.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.88
1.5	1.37	2.88
2.5	2.15	1.65
3.5	3.83	1.22
4.5	7.54	1.05
5.5	10.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.05	6.75
1.25	1.19	4.03
1.75	1.45	2.49
2	1.58	2.17
2.25	1.88	1.85
2.75	2.45	1.46
3	3.07	1.28
3.25	3.55	1.23
3.75	4.90	1.11
4	7.05	1.04
4.25	7.75	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.00	1.38
-0.25	2.54	1.45
0	2.14	1.62
+0.25	1.76	1.94
+0.5	1.60	2.29
+0.75	1.39	2.71

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	9.05	1.01
-1.5	6.90	1.04
-1.25	6.35	1.06
-1	5.78	1.09
-0.75	3.76	1.21
+1	1.21	3.73
+1.25	1.17	4.22
+1.5	1.14	4.67
+1.75	1.08	6.41
+2	1.02	9.00
+2.5	1.01	10.0