Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt• Regionalliga - South, Austria

#11.8:0.81-1FTToday1.0:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25B365X5.70MAR212.0WHMargin at best5.9%Books5Markets60Rating70 · 31Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.18	5.70	11.4	11.1%
William Hill	1.20	5.00	12.0	11.7%
Bet365	1.25	5.00	8.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.17	5.70	10.8	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.19	5.55	9.30	12.8%
Best of all books	1.25	5.70	12.0	5.9%
Average	1.20	5.39	10.4	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VeldenDonau Klagenfurt

Last 10#1Table position#162.27Points per game0.5513Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.864Attack rating3669Defence rating3176Form rating2462H2H rating3883Goals model1770Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 17:01 UTC

Velden

6W 4D 0L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

9 Oct	A	Wolfsberg	2-1	W
2 Oct	H	Treibach	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Völkermarkt	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Bleiburg	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Wolfsberger AC II	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	Austria Klagenfurt	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Donau Klagenfurt	3-2	W
21 Aug	H	Wolfsberg	4-0	W
14 Aug	A	Treibach	0-0	D
7 Aug	A	Völkermarkt	1-1	D

Donau Klagenfurt

1W 3D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	H	Völkermarkt	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Bleiburg	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Wolfsberger AC II	0-3	L
22 Sep	A	Austria Klagenfurt	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Treibach	0-0	D
4 Sep	A	Wolfsberg	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Velden	2-3	L
21 Aug	A	Völkermarkt	3-5	L
15 Aug	H	Bleiburg	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Wolfsberger AC II	1-3	L

Head to head

2Velden wins

2draws

1Donau Klagenfurt wins

5 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Velden

29 Aug 2026Regionalliga - South	Regionalliga - South	Donau Klagenfurt2-3Velden
12 Apr 2025Landesliga - Karnten	Landesliga - Karnten	Velden0-0Donau Klagenfurt
31 Aug 2024Landesliga - Karnten	Landesliga - Karnten	Donau Klagenfurt1-0Velden
7 Apr 2024Landesliga - Karnten	Landesliga - Karnten	Donau Klagenfurt1-5Velden
15 Aug 2023Landesliga - Karnten	Landesliga - Karnten	Velden2-2Donau Klagenfurt

Regionalliga - South tableSouthupdated 16 Oct 10:40 UTC

In the Regionalliga - South table, Velden sit 1st with 25 points from 11 games, while Donau Klagenfurt are 16th with 6 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Velden	11	7	4	0	20:9	+11	25
2	Treibach	11	6	2	3	23:15	+8	20
3	Austria Klagenfurt	11	6	2	3	19:15	+4	20
4	Deutschlandsberger SC	10	5	4	1	19:12	+7	19
5	Völkermarkt	11	5	2	4	21:13	+8	17
6	Weiz	10	4	5	1	16:10	+6	17
7	Kalsdorf	10	5	2	3	17:13	+4	17
8	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	20:20	0	15
9	SV Lafnitz	10	3	5	2	21:21	0	14
10	Allerheiligen	10	3	3	4	19:17	+2	12
11	Tillmitsch	10	2	5	3	16:18	-2	11
12	Bleiburg	11	2	4	5	16:19	-3	10
13	Gleisdorf 09	10	2	2	6	10:19	-9	8
14	Hartberg (Am)	10	1	4	5	14:22	-8	7
15	Wolfsberg	11	1	4	6	8:26	-18	7
16	Donau Klagenfurt	11	1	3	7	11:21	-10	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.20X17%5.3929%10.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.14 → 1.20 +5.3%X6.26 → 5.39 -13.9%213.8 → 10.4 -24.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.32	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Average	1.54	2.30	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.65	9.9%
William Hill	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Average	2.02	1.66	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Velden 50%Draw 50%Donau Klagenfurt 0%

The statistical model rated Velden at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Donau Klagenfurt at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 5.39 | 10.39, which imply roughly 83.3% for a Velden win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - South table: Velden are 1st (25 pts, 20-9 goals), Donau Klagenfurt 16th (6 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, Velden averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Donau Klagenfurt averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Velden or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.20	5.39	10.4

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.66	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
1.08	7.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
1.62	2.60	8.91

2nd half

1	X	2
1.47	3.13	8.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.67	22.3	60.7
HT X	3.88	8.40	21.0
HT 2	23.0	23.7	19.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	15.4	4.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.13	4.60
2.5	1.54	2.30
3.5	2.29	1.50
4.5	3.98	1.17
5.5	7.40	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.25	1.05	6.45
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.23	3.51
2.25	1.36	2.76
2.75	1.63	2.05
3	1.82	1.82
3.25	2.07	1.63
3.75	2.67	1.37
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.68	1.20
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.68	1.37
-2.25	2.40	1.46
-2	2.07	1.69
-1.75	1.87	1.82
-1.5	1.72	1.99
-1.25	1.47	2.36

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.25	1.02
-4	8.70	1.01
-3.75	6.15	1.06
-3.5	4.90	1.11
-3.25	4.55	1.13
-3	4.20	1.16
-2.75	3.04	1.29
-1	1.28	3.08
-0.75	1.23	3.42
-0.25	1.10	5.10
0	1.01	8.50