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Warriors vs Kitchee• Premier League, Hong-Kong

#22.6:0.210:3019/10 · Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong2.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.58PINX3.75B36522.49PINMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets46Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 19:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.583.312.499.1%
BetVictor2.503.502.459.4%
Bet3652.403.752.3510.9%
1xBet2.523.202.4411.9%
Marathonbet2.523.202.4411.9%
William Hill2.503.102.4513.1%
Best of all books2.583.752.495.6%
Average2.503.342.4410.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WarriorsKitchee
Last 10#2Table position#115Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 52.80.2Goals against · last 50.848Attack rating5280Defence rating2054Form rating4660H2H rating4075Goals model2564Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC

Warriors

8W 0D 2L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

11 OctABC Rangers2-0W
19 SepAShatin1-0W
11 SepHEastern District2-1W
6 SepAHong Kong FC3-0W
28 AugHShatin3-0W
23 AugHKowloon City3-0W
17 MayHWofoo Tai Po2-3L
10 MayANorth District4-2W
26 AprHEastern0-1L
18 AprAKitchee4-1W

Kitchee

5W 4D 1L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

15 OctAKuching FA1-1D
10 OctHHong Kong FC4-0W
26 SepAEastern1-3L
17 SepHGangwon FC0-0D
12 SepASouthern District3-1W
6 SepHEastern District4-1W
29 AugANorth District0-0D
22 AugABC Rangers3-2W
29 JulAPrime Bangkok4-0W
17 MayHEastern4-4D

Head to head

11Warriors wins
5draws
12Kitchee wins

28 meetings · goals 48:48 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Warriors

18 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKitchee1-4Warriors
7 Apr 2026League CupLeague CupKitchee1-2Warriors
15 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKitchee1-0Warriors
20 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWarriors2-3Kitchee
12 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWarriors4-0Kitchee
15 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKitchee0-1Warriors
30 Nov 2024Senior ShieldSenior ShieldWarriors2-1Kitchee
2 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKitchee1-1Warriors
26 May 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKitchee2-3Warriors
1 Jan 2024HKPL CupHKPL CupWarriors2-2Kitchee

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 12:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Warriors sit 2nd with 0 points from 0 games, while Kitchee are 1st with 0 points from 0.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kitchee00000:000
2Warriors00000:000
3North District00000:000
4Wofoo Tai Po00000:000
5Eastern00000:000
6Kowloon City00000:000
7Eastern District00000:000
8Southern District00000:000
9BC Rangers00000:000
10Hong Kong FC00000:000
11Shatin00000:000

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X27%3.34237%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Pinnacle1.662.166.5%
BetVictor1.612.139.1%
1xBet1.572.1410.4%
Marathonbet1.572.1410.4%
Best of all books1.672.166.2%
Average1.622.148.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.482.458.4%
Marathonbet1.482.409.2%
Best of all books1.532.456.2%
Average1.502.418.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warriors 45%Draw 45%Kitchee 10%

The statistical model rates Warriors at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kitchee at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.34 | 2.41, which imply roughly 39.5% for a Warriors win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Warriors are 2nd (0 pts, 0-0 goals), Kitchee 1st (0 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Warriors averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Kitchee averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Warriors or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.503.342.44

Double chance

1XX212
1.451.421.25

Draw no bet

12
1.861.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.41

1st half

1X2
3.072.232.95

2nd half

1X2
2.792.572.70

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.1014.025.0
HT X6.275.606.17
HT 225.714.03.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9413.41.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.7
1.51.164.33
2.51.622.14
3.52.481.47
4.54.401.15
5.58.301.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.751.183.86
21.253.40
2.251.432.54
2.751.751.94
31.961.72
3.252.191.57
3.752.781.34
43.501.22
4.253.881.18
4.755.201.10
57.101.04
5.257.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.511.47
-0.252.181.58
01.891.83
+0.251.632.11
+0.51.492.43
+0.751.342.90
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.951.02
-1.756.201.06
-1.54.801.11
-1.254.451.14
-14.001.17
-0.752.991.31
+11.183.84
+1.251.154.26
+1.51.124.65
+1.751.075.95
+21.018.70
+2.51.029.10