Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis• J2 League, Japan

#31.6:2.02-1FT03/10 · Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata1.4:0.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55B365X3.411XB22.84PINMargin at best3.8%Books7Markets43Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.57	3.12	2.81	6.5%
Betano	2.57	3.05	2.75	8.1%
William Hill	2.50	2.88	2.75	11.1%
Betfair	2.50	3.00	2.63	11.4%
1xBet	2.46	2.95	2.68	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.46	2.95	2.68	11.9%
SBO	2.39	2.89	2.58	15.2%
Best of all books	2.57	3.12	2.81	6.5%
Average	2.49	2.98	2.70	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Albirex NiigataTokushima Vortis

Last 10#3Table position#122.00Points per game1.3010Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4729Defence rating7145Form rating5550H2H rating5086Goals model1450Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:51 UTC

Albirex Niigata

6W 1D 3L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

3 Oct	H	Tokushima Vortis	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Matsumoto Yamaga	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Blaublitz Akita	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Jubilo Iwata	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Montedio Yamagata	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Yokohama FC	0-5	L
2 Sep	A	Thespakusatsu Gunma	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Iwaki	3-2	W
26 Aug	H	Kagoshima United	0-4	L
22 Aug	H	Fujieda MYFC	1-0	W

Tokushima Vortis

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Albirex Niigata	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Tochigi City	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Gamba Osaka	0-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ventforet Kofu	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Blaublitz Akita	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Iwaki	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	FC Gifu	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Oita Trinita	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	FC Tokushima	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Jubilo Iwata	1-2	L

Head to head

5Albirex Niigata wins

4draws

5Tokushima Vortis wins

14 meetings · goals 16:15 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Albirex Niigata

6 May 2026J2/J3 League	J2/J3 League	Albirex Niigata1-0Tokushima Vortis
15 Feb 2026J2/J3 League	J2/J3 League	Tokushima Vortis4-0Albirex Niigata
6 Aug 2022J2 League	J2 League	Albirex Niigata2-2Tokushima Vortis
4 Jun 2022J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis1-1Albirex Niigata
25 Oct 2020J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis0-0Albirex Niigata
19 Sep 2020J2 League	J2 League	Albirex Niigata0-1Tokushima Vortis
4 Aug 2019J2 League	J2 League	Albirex Niigata4-0Tokushima Vortis
30 Mar 2019J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis1-0Albirex Niigata
11 Nov 2018J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis0-0Albirex Niigata
25 Mar 2018J2 League	J2 League	Albirex Niigata1-0Tokushima Vortis

J2 League tableJ2 Leagueupdated 15 Oct 00:04 UTC

In the J2 League table, Albirex Niigata sit 3rd with 20 points from 10 games, while Tokushima Vortis are 12th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	10	7	2	1	18:8	+10	23
2	Omiya Ardija	10	5	5	0	20:9	+11	20
3	Albirex Niigata	10	6	2	2	14:14	0	20
4	Kataller Toyama	10	5	3	2	19:10	+9	18
5	Yokohama FC	10	5	2	3	19:13	+6	17
6	Shonan Bellmare	10	4	5	1	11:9	+2	17
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	11:8	+3	14
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	3	4	3	13:11	+2	13
9	Blaublitz Akita	10	3	4	3	12:11	+1	13
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	3	4	3	14:14	0	13
11	Jubilo Iwata	10	4	1	5	12:13	-1	13
12	Tokushima Vortis	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13
13	Montedio Yamagata	10	4	0	6	11:9	+2	12
14	Iwaki	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12
15	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11
16	Tochigi City	10	3	1	6	16:17	-1	10
17	Imabari	10	3	1	6	11:19	-8	10
18	Ventforet Kofu	10	3	1	6	9:18	-9	10
19	Vanraure Hachinohe	10	3	1	6	6:17	-11	10
20	Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	6	12:19	-7	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.48X30%3.08233%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.49 0.0%X2.98 → 3.06 +2.7%22.70 → 2.70 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.28	1.61	6.0%
Betano	2.25	1.60	6.9%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.28	1.61	6.0%
Average	2.23	1.59	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	1.90	1.81	7.9%
Average	1.88	1.80	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Albirex Niigata 10%Draw 45%Tokushima Vortis 45%

The statistical model rated Albirex Niigata at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tokushima Vortis at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.08 | 2.74, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J2 League table: Albirex Niigata are 3rd (20 pts, 14-14 goals), Tokushima Vortis 12th (13 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Albirex Niigata averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Tokushima Vortis averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tokushima Vortis.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.49	2.98	2.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.44	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	1.97	3.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	7.20	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.83
1.5	1.38	2.73
2.5	2.23	1.59
3.5	4.01	1.19
4.5	7.63	1.04
5.5	16.5	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.60
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.50	2.40
2	1.67	2.08
2.25	1.96	1.78
2.75	2.61	1.43
3	3.28	1.25
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.10	1.10
4	7.40	1.03
4.25	7.78	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.04	1.31
-0.5	2.53	1.50
-0.25	2.14	1.64
0	1.78	1.93
+0.25	1.54	2.30
+0.5	1.44	2.73

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	7.10	1.04
-1.5	5.37	1.10
-1.25	4.80	1.12
-1	4.38	1.16
+0.75	1.26	3.36
+1	1.12	5.00
+1.25	1.09	5.40
+1.5	1.08	5.93
+1.75	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.02	12.0