Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya• Second Division, Qatar

#110.0:1.71-3FTToday2.7:0.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.50B365X4.00B36521.48B365Margin at best10.7%Books7Markets47Rating22 · 79Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 08:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.60	4.10	1.52	8.0%
Betano	5.40	3.95	1.53	9.2%
Bet365	5.50	4.00	1.48	10.7%
1xBet	5.33	3.94	1.50	10.8%
Betfair	5.00	4.20	1.47	11.8%
Marathonbet	5.10	3.94	1.49	12.1%
BetVictor	4.50	3.50	1.44	20.2%
Best of all books	5.60	4.20	1.53	7.0%
Average	5.20	3.95	1.49	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al Shamal IIAl-Markhiya

Last 10#11Table position#10.33Points per game3.005Form pts · last 5100.0Goals for · last 52.71.7Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating10010Form rating900H2H rating1000Goals model10022Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 11:50 UTC

Al Shamal II

1W 4D 5L · goals 5:18 · per match 0.5 for, 1.8 against

8 Sep	H	Al Bidda SC	0-3	L
31 Aug	H	Al Waab	0-2	L
24 Aug	H	Al Kharaitiyat	0-0	D
17 Apr	H	Al Sailiya B	3-1	W
13 Apr	A	Umm Salal B	0-0	D
31 Mar	H	Al Arabi SC B	0-0	D
27 Mar	A	Al Khor B	2-2	D
22 Mar	H	Al-Ahli Doha B	0-1	L
7 Mar	A	Al-Gharafa B	0-4	L
15 Feb	H	Muaither SC	0-5	L

Al-Markhiya

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

29 Sep	H	Al Ahli Doha	1-1	D
21 Sep	A	Lusail City	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Al Rayyan SC B	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Al-Gharafa B	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Al-Khor	3-0	W
30 Apr	A	Al-Khor	3-0	W
25 Apr	H	Lusail City	0-2	L
12 Apr	A	Al Waab	1-1	D
5 Apr	H	Muaither SC	3-4	L
25 Mar	A	Muaither SC	2-3	L

Head to head

0Al Shamal II wins

0draws

1Al-Markhiya wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Al Shamal II

21 Dec 2014Second Division

Second Division

Al-Markhiya2-1Al Shamal II

Second Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 14 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the Second Division table, Al Shamal II sit 11th with 1 points from 3 games, while Al-Markhiya are 1st with 9 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Markhiya	3	3	0	0	8:0	+8	9
2	Al Bidda SC	3	2	1	0	6:1	+5	7
3	Al Waab	3	2	1	0	4:1	+3	7
4	Muaither SC	3	2	0	1	6:2	+4	6
5	Al Kharaitiyat	3	1	2	0	4:2	+2	5
6	Al Mesaimeer	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
7	UMM Salal	3	1	1	1	4:7	-3	4
8	Al-Khor	3	1	0	2	6:7	-1	3
9	Qatar U23	3	0	2	1	2:4	-2	2
10	Al-Gharafa B	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1
11	Al Shamal II	3	0	1	2	0:5	-5	1
12	Al Rayyan SC B	3	0	0	3	1:8	-7	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.50X23%4.00261%1.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.38 → 5.50 +25.6%X3.85 → 4.00 +3.9%21.64 → 1.48 -9.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.54	1.82	19.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.65	2.01	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	1.96	8.2%
Average	1.69	1.90	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Shamal II 0%Draw 50%Al-Markhiya 50%

The statistical model rated Al Shamal II at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Al-Markhiya at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.48, which imply roughly 25% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Second Division table: Al Shamal II are 11th (1 pts, 0-5 goals), Al-Markhiya 1st (9 pts, 8-0).

Over their last five matches, Al Shamal II averaged 0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Al-Markhiya averaged 2.7 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Al-Markhiya.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.20	3.95	1.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.33	1.11	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
3.73	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
5.14	2.29	2.00

2nd half

1	X	2
4.93	2.71	1.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.92	16.2	19.7
HT X	11.3	6.47	4.29
HT 2	44.0	15.2	2.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.76	13.0	1.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.18	3.60
2.5	1.65	2.01
3.5	2.52	1.38
4.5	4.28	1.13
5.5	6.80	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.75	1.22	3.48
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.45	2.28
2.75	1.77	1.77
3	2.01	1.57
3.25	2.25	1.45
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.60	1.34
+0.5	2.06	1.40
+0.75	1.98	1.65
+1	1.81	1.82
+1.25	1.54	2.05
+1.5	1.42	2.32

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.70	1.02
-1	8.60	1.01
-0.25	4.35	1.14
0	3.90	1.18
+1.75	1.33	2.83
+2	1.20	3.72
+2.5	1.14	4.40
+3	1.02	7.90
+3.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.83	1.83