Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B• Second Division, Qatar

#61.0:1.05-0FTToday0.3:1.7#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73B365X3.80B36523.80B365Margin at best10.4%Books1Markets14Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.73	3.80	3.80	10.4%
Best of all books	1.73	3.80	3.80	10.4%
Average	1.73	3.80	3.80	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al MesaimeerAl-Gharafa B

Last 10#6Table position#101.33Points per game0.334Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.31.0Goals against · last 51.775Attack rating2563Defence rating3880Form rating2091H2H rating960Goals model4072Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 17:50 UTC

Al Mesaimeer

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

1 Oct	A	Al-Gharafa	2-4	L
22 Sep	H	Al Waab	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	Al Kharaitiyat	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	UMM Salal	1-2	L
24 Aug	H	Muaither SC	1-0	W
30 Apr	H	Muaither SC	1-3	L
25 Apr	H	Al Waab	3-0	W
12 Apr	A	Lusail City	0-3	L
5 Apr	A	Al-Khor	0-2	L
15 Mar	H	Al Bidda SC	3-0	W

Al-Gharafa B

2W 1D 7L · goals 20:32 · per match 2.0 for, 3.2 against

7 Sep	H	Muaither SC	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Al-Markhiya	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Al Bidda SC	1-1	D
3 Apr	H	Al-Markhiya	1-6	L
8 Mar	H	Umm Salal B	10-1	W
5 Mar	H	El Jaish SC B	2-1	W
12 Feb	H	Al Shahaniya II	1-5	L
5 Feb	H	Al Kharaitiyat B	2-3	L
22 Jan	H	Qatar SC	0-7	L
15 Jan	H	Al Sailiya B	3-4	L

Head to head

3Al Mesaimeer wins

1draws

0Al-Gharafa B wins

4 meetings · goals 11:6 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Al Mesaimeer

25 Nov 2016Second Division	Second Division	Al-Gharafa B2-4Al Mesaimeer
28 Sep 2015Second Division	Second Division	Al-Gharafa B0-0Al Mesaimeer
21 Dec 2014Second Division	Second Division	Al Mesaimeer5-3Al-Gharafa B
7 Dec 2013Second Division	Second Division	Al Mesaimeer2-1Al-Gharafa B

Second Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 14 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the Second Division table, Al Mesaimeer sit 6th with 4 points from 3 games, while Al-Gharafa B are 10th with 1 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Markhiya	3	3	0	0	8:0	+8	9
2	Al Bidda SC	3	2	1	0	6:1	+5	7
3	Al Waab	3	2	1	0	4:1	+3	7
4	Muaither SC	3	2	0	1	6:2	+4	6
5	Al Kharaitiyat	3	1	2	0	4:2	+2	5
6	Al Mesaimeer	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
7	UMM Salal	3	1	1	1	4:7	-3	4
8	Al-Khor	3	1	0	2	6:7	-1	3
9	Qatar U23	3	0	2	1	2:4	-2	2
10	Al-Gharafa B	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1
11	Al Shamal II	3	0	1	2	0:5	-5	1
12	Al Rayyan SC B	3	0	0	3	1:8	-7	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.67X24%3.69222%4.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 1.73 -25.4%X3.50 → 3.80 +8.6%22.58 → 3.80 +47.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.75	2.05	5.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Mesaimeer 50%Draw 50%Al-Gharafa B 0%

The statistical model rated Al Mesaimeer at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Al-Gharafa B at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.69 | 4.11, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Al Mesaimeer win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Second Division table: Al Mesaimeer are 6th (4 pts, 3-3 goals), Al-Gharafa B 10th (1 pts, 1-5).

Over their last five matches, Al Mesaimeer averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Al-Gharafa B averaged 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Al Mesaimeer or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.80	3.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.91	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.25	2.30	4.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.62	17.0	34.0
HT X	4.75	6.50	9.00
HT 2	21.0	17.0	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	12.0	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.75	2.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	1.98	1.82
-0.5	1.90	1.90
0	1.80	2.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.88	1.92
9.5	2.10	1.67