USA W vs 
Spain W• Friendlies Women, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:06 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.26 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.45 | 2.27 | 8.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.69 | 2.22 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 9.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.46 | 2.16 | 10.7% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.46 | 2.14 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 12.3% |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.05 | 2.08 | 18.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.85 | 3.69 | 2.27 | 6.2% |
| Average | 2.76 | 3.46 | 2.19 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:40 UTC
USA W
5W 0D 5L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against
| 10 Oct | H | Spain W | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Jun | A | Brazil W | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Jun | A | Brazil W | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Apr | H | Japan W | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Apr | H | Japan W | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Apr | H | Japan W | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | Japan W | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | Japan W | 2-1 | W |
| 7 Mar | H | Colombia W | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Mar | H | Canada W | 1-0 | W |
Spain W
8W 1D 1L · goals 27:3 · per match 2.7 for, 0.3 against
| 10 Oct | A | USA W | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Jun | A | Iceland W | 6-1 | W |
| 5 Jun | H | England W | 4-0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | Ukraine W | 5-0 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | England W | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Mar | A | Ukraine W | 3-1 | W |
| 3 Mar | H | Iceland W | 3-0 | W |
| 2 Dec | H | Germany W | 3-0 | W |
| 28 Nov | A | Germany W | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Sweden W | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for USA W
| 11 Oct 2022Friendlies Women | Friendlies Women | Spain W2-0USA W |
| 24 Jun 2019World Cup - Women | World Cup - Women | Spain W1-2USA W |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 2.17 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.1% |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 2.07 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.20 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.64 | 2.14 | 7.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.30 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.30 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates USA W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Spain W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 3.46 | 2.19, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, USA W averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Spain W averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spain W and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.76 | 3.46 | 2.19 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.08 | 1.67 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.54 | 2.30 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.28 | 2.26 | 2.70 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 14.4 | 1.79 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 10.6 |
| 1.5 | 1.18 | 4.27 |
| 2.5 | 1.64 | 2.14 |
| 3.5 | 2.60 | 1.43 |
| 4.5 | 4.71 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 8.65 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 10.6 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.00 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.95 |
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.56 |
| 2 | 1.34 | 3.02 |
| 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.49 |
| 2.75 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 3 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| 3.25 | 2.31 | 1.52 |
| 3.75 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| 4 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| 4.25 | 4.34 | 1.15 |
| 4.75 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.70 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.40 | 1.49 |
| 0 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| +0.25 | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| +0.5 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| +0.75 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 5.82 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 5.32 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.82 | 1.13 |
| -0.75 | 3.31 | 1.28 |
| +1 | 1.28 | 3.28 |
| +1.25 | 1.22 | 3.71 |
| +1.5 | 1.18 | 4.10 |
| +1.75 | 1.11 | 5.32 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| +2.25 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.00 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.11 | 4.68 |
| 6.5 | 1.31 | 2.95 |
| 7.5 | 1.63 | 2.16 |
| 8.5 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| 9.5 | 2.78 | 1.37 |
| 10.5 | 3.98 | 1.16 |
| 11.5 | 6.18 | 1.04 |
6 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.14 | 4.18 |
| 7 | 1.41 | 2.60 |
| 8 | 1.84 | 1.92 |
| 9 | 2.46 | 1.46 |
| 10 | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| 11 | 5.72 | 1.06 |