Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#41.2:0.61-0FTToday · ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec1.2:0.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40WHX4.70DAF28.00BFRMargin at best5.2%Books9Markets54Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.40	4.70	6.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.40	4.50	6.50	9.0%
William Hill	1.40	4.50	6.00	10.3%
Bet365	1.38	4.50	6.25	10.7%
1xBet	1.37	4.33	6.68	11.1%
Betano	1.40	4.30	6.00	11.4%
Betfair	1.30	4.50	8.00	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.33	6.35	12.4%
Pinnacle	1.40	4.28	5.53	12.9%
Best of all books	1.40	4.70	8.00	5.2%
Average	1.38	4.44	6.43	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zaglebie SosnowiecRakow II

Last 10#4Table position#172.00Points per game0.9012Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5057Defence rating4360Form rating400H2H rating083Goals model1763Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 17:50 UTC

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Kluczbork	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	2-4	L
18 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Polonia Nysa	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Sparta Katowice	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Carina Gubin	4-0	W
19 Aug	H	Ślęza Wrocław	3-1	W
16 Aug	A	ROW Rybnik	1-4	L

Rakow II

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Miedź Legnica II	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Polonia Nysa	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sparta Katowice	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Ślęza Wrocław	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Stal Brzeg	0-3	L
19 Aug	H	Stilon Gorzów	1-4	L
16 Aug	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	0-1	L
31 Jul	A	Górnik Polkowice	4-5	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Rakow II on record.

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 14 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 4th with 22 points from 11 games, while Rakow II are 17th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sparta Katowice	12	7	3	2	19:8	+11	24
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	12	6	6	0	24:14	+10	24
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	12	7	3	2	13:6	+7	24
4	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	11	7	1	3	16:9	+7	22
5	Barycz Sułów	12	6	3	3	19:14	+5	21
6	ROW Rybnik	12	6	2	4	25:19	+6	20
7	Górnik Polkowice	12	5	3	4	23:19	+4	18
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	12	5	3	4	13:9	+4	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	12	5	2	5	27:22	+5	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	12	4	4	4	20:19	+1	16
11	Warta Gorzów	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
12	Stal Brzeg	12	3	3	6	19:18	+1	12
13	Goczałkowice Zdrój	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
14	Kluczbork	11	4	0	7	10:18	-8	12
15	Polonia Nysa	12	3	2	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Ślęza Wrocław	12	3	1	8	18:28	-10	10
17	Rakow II	10	2	3	5	13:19	-6	9
18	Carina Gubin	12	2	3	7	8:22	-14	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X20%4.44214%6.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.32 → 1.38 +4.5%X4.63 → 4.44 -4.1%27.43 → 6.43 -13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.31	9.5%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Average	1.51	2.32	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.68	2.02	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 45%Draw 45%Rakow II 10%

The statistical model rated Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rakow II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.44 | 6.43, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 4th (22 pts, 16-9 goals), Rakow II 17th (9 pts, 13-19).

Over their last five matches, Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Rakow II averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.44	6.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.72	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.48	5.86

2nd half

1	X	2
1.68	2.92	5.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.00	16.3	47.0
HT X	4.22	7.47	13.7
HT 2	17.5	16.8	11.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	16.9	3.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.13	4.87
2.5	1.51	2.32
3.5	2.26	1.54
4.5	3.93	1.19
5.5	7.50	1.07

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.16	4.14
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.35	2.77
2.75	1.63	2.09
3	1.80	1.85
3.25	2.05	1.65
3.75	2.61	1.39
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.50	1.22
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.37	1.50
-1.5	2.06	1.65
-1.25	1.84	1.84
-1	1.63	2.11
-0.75	1.47	2.42
-0.5	1.40	2.70

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.75	1.04
-3.25	5.75	1.14
-3	5.87	1.09
-2.75	4.00	1.23
-2.5	3.48	1.25
-2.25	3.10	1.35
-2	2.86	1.35
-0.25	1.26	3.38
0	1.12	5.00
+0.25	1.10	5.58
+0.5	1.12	6.00