Al Najma vs Al Ula• Division 1, Saudi-Arabia

#32.2:0.61-3FT07/11 · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah3.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90PINX3.50B36521.98BTNMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets50Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.90	3.27	1.96	7.2%
Dafabet	3.80	3.20	1.98	8.1%
Betano	3.70	3.20	1.98	8.8%
BetVictor	3.75	3.40	1.87	9.6%
Betfair	3.60	3.40	1.90	9.8%
1xBet	3.54	3.18	1.95	11.0%
Bet365	3.60	3.50	1.83	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.45	3.18	1.93	12.2%
William Hill	3.70	3.00	1.91	12.7%
Best of all books	3.90	3.50	1.98	4.7%
Average	3.67	3.26	1.92	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al NajmaAl Ula

Last 10#3Table position#11.73Points per game2.8013Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 53.00.6Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5857Defence rating4350Form rating500H2H rating041Goals model5948Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 14:50 UTC

Al Najma

5W 4D 1L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

2 Nov	A	Al Jeel	1-0	W
28 Oct	H	Al Zulfi	2-0	W
20 Oct	A	Hajer	4-2	W
12 Oct	H	Damac	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Al Anwar	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Al-Raed	1-1	D
7 Sep	A	Al Okhdood	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Al Jabalain	1-1	D
27 Aug	A	Jeddah Club	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Al Jandal	2-1	W

Al Ula

9W 1D 0L · goals 25:5 · per match 2.5 for, 0.5 against

1 Nov	A	Hajer	3-1	W
26 Oct	H	Al Orubah	3-1	W
19 Oct	A	Al Zulfi	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Al Okhdood	5-1	W
14 Sep	H	Jeddah Club	3-0	W
8 Sep	A	Damac	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Al-Raed	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Al Anwar	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Al Jabalain	3-1	W
19 Aug	H	Al-Fateh	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Al Najma and Al Ula on record.

Division 1 tableRegular Seasonupdated 7 Nov 21:10 UTC

In the Division 1 table, Al Najma sit 3rd with 19 points from 11 games, while Al Ula are 1st with 28 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Ula	10	9	1	0	25:6	+19	28
2	Al Jabalain	10	6	3	1	12:5	+7	21
3	Al Najma	11	5	4	2	18:12	+6	19
4	Al Wehda Club	10	4	6	0	19:10	+9	18
5	Al Zulfi	11	4	6	1	14:5	+9	18
6	Damac	10	5	3	2	17:13	+4	18
7	Al Saqer	11	3	5	3	13:10	+3	14
8	Al Anwar	9	3	5	1	8:5	+3	14
9	Al Taee	10	4	2	4	14:20	-6	14
10	Al-Adalah	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
11	Jeddah Club	11	2	4	5	9:14	-5	10
12	Al-Raed	10	3	1	6	8:14	-6	10
13	Al Orubah	9	1	5	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Al Jandal	10	1	4	5	10:15	-5	7
15	Al Okhdood	9	1	4	4	13:20	-7	7
16	Hajer	10	1	4	5	8:16	-8	7
17	Al Bukayriyah	11	1	3	7	8:22	-14	6
18	Al Jeel	8	1	2	5	1:8	-7	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.67X28%3.26247%1.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.77	6.0%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.95	0.8%
Average	1.93	1.79	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.76	1.91	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Najma 10%Draw 45%Al Ula 45%

The statistical model rated Al Najma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Ula at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.67 | 3.26 | 1.92, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division 1 table: Al Najma are 3rd (19 pts, 18-12 goals), Al Ula 1st (28 pts, 25-6).

Over their last five matches, Al Najma averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Al Ula averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Ula.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.67	3.26	1.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.23	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.68	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
4.15	2.09	2.53

2nd half

1	X	2
3.71	2.36	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.10	14.8	26.5
HT X	7.85	4.97	4.82
HT 2	39.0	15.0	3.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.41	9.55	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.43
1.5	1.29	3.18
2.5	1.93	1.79
3.5	3.28	1.27
4.5	6.45	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.34
1.75	1.35	2.84
2	1.46	2.46
2.25	1.71	2.00
2.75	2.19	1.58
3	2.71	1.38
3.25	3.01	1.32
3.75	4.20	1.16
4	5.85	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06
4.75	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.08	1.31
0	2.64	1.42
+0.25	2.07	1.66
+0.5	1.85	1.90
+0.75	1.57	2.22
+1	1.35	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.40	1.01
-1.25	7.80	1.02
-1	7.20	1.03
-0.75	4.55	1.13
-0.5	3.48	1.28
+1.25	1.28	3.25
+1.5	1.20	3.72
+1.75	1.12	4.81
+2	1.03	7.30
+2.25	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.82	1.98
10.5	2.01	1.74

Next Division 1 matches

8 Nov	Damac – Al Anwar
8 Nov	Al Taee – Al-Raed
8 Nov	Al Okhdood – Al Jabalain
8 Nov	Al Wehda Club – Al Jeel
18 Nov	Al-Adalah – Al Orubah

All Division 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Division 1 results

7 Nov	Al Saqer 4-1 Al Bukayriyah
7 Nov	Al Jandal 0-0 Hajer
6 Nov	Al Zulfi 1-1 Jeddah Club
3 Nov	Al-Raed 0-1 Al Wehda Club
3 Nov	Damac 4-3 Al Okhdood
2 Nov	Al Zulfi 3-0 Al Jandal