Al Najma vs Damac• Division 1, Saudi-Arabia

#41.0:1.23-0FT12/10 · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah1.4:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX3.50B36523.94PINMargin at best6.6%Books9Markets48Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 13:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	3.37	3.94	8.0%
Dafabet	1.93	3.40	3.70	8.3%
Betano	1.95	3.30	3.65	9.0%
Betfair	1.85	3.40	3.80	9.8%
BetVictor	1.85	3.40	3.80	9.8%
1xBet	1.84	3.36	3.74	10.8%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.36	3.64	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.75	13.0%
Best of all books	1.95	3.50	3.94	5.2%
Average	1.87	3.35	3.72	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al NajmaDamac

Last 10#4Table position#91.43Points per game1.294Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5850Defence rating5033Form rating6764H2H rating3647Goals model5349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Oct 11:50 UTC

Al Najma

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

19 Sep	A	Al Anwar	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Al-Raed	1-1	D
7 Sep	A	Al Okhdood	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Al Jabalain	1-1	D
27 Aug	A	Jeddah Club	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Al Jandal	2-1	W
18 Aug	H	Al-Ittihad FC	0-3	L
20 May	H	Al Shabab	1-0	W
14 May	A	Al-Fateh	0-2	L
9 May	H	Al-Hazm	2-2	D

Damac

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

20 Sep	H	Al-Adalah	3-2	W
14 Sep	A	Al Bukayriyah	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Al Ula	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Al Wehda Club	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Al Orubah	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Al Saqer	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Al Taawon	0-3	L
21 May	A	Al-Nassr	1-4	L
15 May	H	Al-Fayha	3-0	W
10 May	A	Al-Ittihad FC	1-2	L

Head to head

2Al Najma wins

1draws

1Damac wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Al Najma

12 Mar 2026Pro League	Pro League	Al Najma1-3Damac
22 Nov 2025Pro League	Pro League	Damac0-0Al Najma
23 Sep 2025King's Cup	King's Cup	Al Najma2-1Damac
25 Sep 2024King's Cup	King's Cup	Al Najma2-0Damac

Division 1 tableRegular Seasonupdated 12 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Division 1 table, Al Najma sit 4th with 10 points from 7 games, while Damac are 9th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Ula	6	6	0	0	15:2	+13	18
2	Al Wehda Club	7	2	5	0	15:8	+7	11
3	Al Zulfi	6	2	4	0	7:1	+6	10
4	Al Najma	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
5	Al Anwar	7	2	4	1	6:4	+2	10
6	Al Taee	7	3	1	3	10:15	-5	10
7	Al-Adalah	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
8	Al Jabalain	6	2	3	1	4:4	0	9
9	Damac	7	2	3	2	7:9	-2	9
10	Jeddah Club	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
11	Al Saqer	6	1	4	1	4:3	+1	7
12	Al Orubah	6	1	4	1	4:4	0	7
13	Al-Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
14	Hajer	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6
15	Al Okhdood	6	1	3	2	8:12	-4	6
16	Al Jandal	6	1	2	3	9:9	0	5
17	Al Bukayriyah	6	0	2	4	4:11	-7	2
18	Al Jeel	6	0	2	4	0:7	-7	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X27%3.35224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.84 → 1.86 +1.1%X3.35 → 3.35 0.0%23.81 → 3.76 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.96	1.84	5.4%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.96	1.85	5.1%
Average	1.92	1.79	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.76	1.91	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Najma 35%Draw 35%Damac 30%

The statistical model rated Al Najma at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Damac at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.35 | 3.72, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Al Najma win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Division 1 table: Al Najma are 4th (10 pts, 10-7 goals), Damac 9th (9 pts, 7-9).

Over their last five matches, Al Najma averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Damac averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al Najma or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.35	3.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.79	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.12	4.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	10.3	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.88
1.5	1.29	3.20
2.5	1.92	1.79
3.5	3.28	1.27
4.5	6.52	1.07
5.5	14.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.85
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.34	2.90
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.17	1.60
3	2.63	1.40
3.25	2.98	1.32
3.75	4.20	1.16
4	5.85	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.05	1.33
-1	2.66	1.41
-0.75	2.15	1.62
-0.5	1.88	1.87
-0.25	1.63	2.14
0	1.40	2.75

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.33	1.05
-2.25	6.88	1.06
-2	6.42	1.07
-1.75	4.37	1.16
-1.5	3.42	1.25
+0.25	1.30	3.19
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.15	4.64
+1	1.05	7.40
+1.25	1.04	7.93
+1.5	1.01	8.90
+1.75	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.86	1.91
10	1.88	1.92
10.5	2.10	1.67